台灣紡織業現況之經濟分析

An Economic Analysis on Taiwan's Modern Textile Industry

余筱萱(Hsiao-Hsuan Yu)

指導教授 ： 何瓊芳

中原大學/商學院/國際經營與貿易研究所/碩士(2014年)

https://doi.org/10.6840/cycu201400239

摘要

紡織成衣業在全球產業中一直以來都是扮演著非常重要的角色，隨著人口成長，由人類對紡織製品的需求大量增加即可窺知一二。台灣的紡織業在1980年代時曾經蓬勃發展，因早期政府的推廣和支持並積極拓展外銷，促使產業技術快速發展，奠定了日後該產業的根基。隨著台灣多年的紡織高級技術和行銷經驗，已發展成可以完整地垂直整合上中下游生產系統的競爭力。然而勞動成本是否已完成發揮效能，讓影響紡織業最重要的出口值達到巔峰，仍是值得考量的。
　　本文主要以經濟層面探討近十年來台灣成衣業現況，以多元迴歸模式數據及Cobb-Douglas生產函數彈性分析，並採用製造受雇員工平均薪資、美元兌新台幣匯率、紡織業員工平均每月工作時數以及受雇員工人數等變數解釋其對台灣紡織相關產業的產量及出口值的影響。
　　研究發現，員工薪資雖對廠商為成本面，然而在加入多總勞動投入衡量時卻是對出口有助益的，足可顯現廠商在衡量成本面時，應以多方考量，如此才可使收益達到極大化。而想改善紡織業出口的萎縮，更應該擺脫勞動密集的固有觀念，轉型為資本密集，走出新的視野。

關鍵字

複迴歸分析 ； 匯率 ； 平均薪資 ； 工時 ； 出口值

並列摘要

Textiles and clothing industry plays a very important role in the global industry all the time and it is significant that the increasing human demand for textile products is accompanied with population growth. Taiwan's textile industry has been booming in the 1980s because of the government’s early support and export expansion, which made industrial technology developed rapidly and laid the foundation for the future of the industry. But Taiwan’s textile industry has accumulated much technical and marketing experience; it is believed the industry can be developed into a complete vertical production system to maintain competitiveness. However, whether labor cost could take full advantage and keep the textile export value to another is worth study. Therefore, this research mainly examines the economic aspects of the garment industry in Taiwan over the past decade. We use both multiple regression and Cobb-Douglas production function to analyze data and elasticity, and we also use the variables such as manufacturing employees average salary, the NT dollar exchange rate, the average monthly working hours of textile workers and the numbers of employment to explain their relationships and the effects on production and export value of Taiwan's textile related industries. This study finds employee salary could increase production value. Consequently, employer should not consider salary simply as cost. In order to improve the trend of shirking export, the industry should get rid of labor-intensive concept and transforms to technology-intensive perspective.

並列關鍵字

Multiple regression analysis ； exchange rate ； average salary ； export value ； working hour

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