本文主要以台灣以及19個新興國家做為研究對象,衡量政府治理對實質GDP成長率之影響,同時考慮橫斷面與時間序列資料,以追蹤資料進行跨區域分析,運用2003-2012年新興國家資料,以世界銀行(World Bank)六類治理以及全球透視(Global Insight)之消費者物價指數、政府支出二項數據作為本文之解釋變數,評估各項指標對於經濟成長之影響。該六類治理指標為:言權自由(Voice and Accountability, VA)、政治穩定度(Political Stability and Absence of Violence, PS)、政府效能(Government Effectiveness, GE)、管制品質(Regulatory Quality, RQ)、法治(Rule of Law, RL)、國家清廉度(Control of Corruption, CC)等。更考量文化背景及地域的差異性,同時進行區域個別迴歸分析,藉以了解國家治理與經濟成長之關聯。由於樣本資料具備歧異性,以固定效果(fixed effect)進行相關實證分析。實證結果發現,對於整體新興經濟體,以政府效能、廉政度、產權保護以及維持政治穩定對經濟成長有正面顯著之影響。本文支持治理對經濟成長表現具有正面影響之論點,認為各國政府可透過不同層面治理之改善,進而達成經濟成長之目標。
The thesis intends to examine the role of governance in economic growth for Taiwan and 19 emerging economies. A set of panel data is constructed for the period from 2003 to 2012 and a fix effects model is employed to estimate the impacts on Potential GDP growth rate from each governance indicator、consumer inflation and government expenditure . The six governance indicators are adopted from World Bank, including Voice and Accountability, Political Stability and Absence of Violence/Terrorism, Government Effectiveness, Regulatory Quality, Rule of Law, and Control of Corruption. The consumer inflation index and government expenditure are adopted from Global Insight database. We split the emerging economies into different groups to better understand the relation between governance and economic growth.There are statically significant positive effects for each variable on economic growth. Hence, governmental policies improved the quality of governance be different types and regions should be emphasized。