南海衝突與美菲同盟之轉變

蔡博名

doi:10.6342/NTU201900663

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南海衝突與美菲同盟之轉變

South China Sea Disputes and the Changes in the U.S.-Philippines Alliance

蔡博名 , Masters　　Advisor：左正東　　

繁體中文 DOI： 10.6342/NTU201900663

美國大戰略；聯盟理論；美菲同盟；南海爭議；亞洲再平衡；航行自由； grand strategies ； alliance theories ； the U.S.-Philippines alliance ； South China Sea disputes ； Rebalance to Asia ； freedom of navigation

Abstract │ Reference (271) │ Altmetrics

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After President Rodrigo Duterte came to power in 2016, the relationship between the U.S. and the Philippines soon faced serious challenges. Besides the different attitudes on “War on Drug” and human rights, the biggest criticism came from the new Philippines government was that the Obama administration acted passively in the South China Sea. However, comparing it with what Clinton administration did in 1990s, Obama was believed to play more active role in the region. To explain the phenomenon, the thesis examines the U.S. grand strategies and its Asia-Pacific policies to analyze the American attitude toward South China Sea disputes in 1990s and 2010s. Also, the thesis uses alliance theories to find out the possible conflicts inside the asymmetric alliance. According to the evidences, despite the fact that Obama administration took active military measures to challenge China’s territorial claim, the Chinese growing military power and Obama’s vague signal made it harder to deter China from occupying islands and rocks in the South China Sea than before. Therefore, the Philippines felt insecure and dissatisfied after yielding numerous privileges on VFA and EDCA in order to get the security commitment from the United States.

Reference ( 271 ) 〈TOP〉

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中華人民共和國外交部，2007，〈中國同菲律賓的關係〉，中華人民共和國外交部，https://www.mfa.gov.cn/chn//pds/gjhdq/gj/yz/1206_9/sbgx/t5581.htm，2018/12/7。
王高成，2018，〈美國《國家安全戰略報告》的內涵與影響〉，《展望與探索》，16(1)：1-7。
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