新竹縣族群與總統選舉之空間分析（2000-2012）

洪慧萍

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新竹縣族群與總統選舉之空間分析（2000-2012）

Spatial Analysis of Ethnic and Presidential Election in Hsinchu County（2000-2012）

洪慧萍 , Masters　　Advisor：鄧志松;唐代彪　　

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Abstract │ Reference (47) │ Times Cited (1) │ Altmetrics

Abstract 〈TOP〉

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This study investigates the relationship between ethnic groups and presidential elections in Hsinchu County. Through spatial analysis, the results of 4 presidential elections (from year 2000 to 2012) are analyzed using “village” as an analysis unit. 182 villages are examined, with control factors consisting of socioeconomic background, subsidy policy, living environment and spatial variables to observe the relevance between ethnic groups and presidential election in Hsinchu County.
This research found that the Hakka population does not show a consistent preference in supporting a specific political party. In principle, areas with a higher Hakka population are prone to be supportive of the Chinese National Party (KMT), with exceptions in Xinpu and Ermei Townships, where effective factors such as subsidy policy, living environment and proximity effect are in force. Moreover, villages with higher senior population or histories of protest movements show a greater support for the democratic progressive party (DPP). Furthermore, areas such as Wufeng and Jianshih Townships, consisting mainly of aboriginal population, are known to share a distinct preference in supporting of the KMT. In armored camp area in Hukou Township and older military communities with mainlander population are also in favor of supporting the KMT. However, sea-front villages with an economic disadvantage seem to be supportive of the DDP. Observing from aforementioned cases, it is clear that the presidential elections in the Hsinchu County are not only influenced by various ethnic population, but also factors like subsidy policy, living environment, proximity effect and so on and so forth.

Reference ( 47 ) 〈TOP〉

王明珂（1997）。《華夏邊緣：歷史記憶與族群認同》。臺北：允晨出版社。
連結：
王鈺婷（2008）。《藍綠版圖之空間分布與變遷：第三屆至第七屆立委選舉結果之探討》。國立臺灣大學國家發展研究所碩士論文。
連結：
王鈞正（2010）。《宗族與當代地方社會－以湖口陳四源為例》。國立交通大學客家文化學院客家社會與文化碩士在職專班。
連結：
吳重禮、崔曉倩（2010）。＜檳族群、賦權與選舉評價：2004年與2008年總統選舉省籍差異的實證分析＞。《臺灣民主季刊》7（4）：137-182。
連結：
林佳龍（1989）。＜威權侍從政體下的臺灣反對運動-民進黨社會基礎的政治解釋＞。《臺灣社會研究季刊》2(1)：117-143。
連結：

Times Cited (1) 〈TOP〉

蘇郁涵(2016)。探索「柯文哲現象」－2014年臺北市長選舉空間分析。臺灣大學國家發展研究所學位論文。2016。1-72。

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