台灣低碳社會與綠色經濟指標建立與評估

Indicator Study for Low-carbon Society and Green Economy In Taiwan

陳君如(Chun-Ju Chen)

指導教授 ： 李堅明

國立臺北大學/公共事務學院/自然資源與環境管理研究所/碩士(2011年)

摘要

近年來，為因應全球暖化與氣候變遷，邁向低碳社會(low carbon society)與綠色經濟(green economy)已成為國際先進國家的發展目標，因此，何謂低碳社會與綠色經濟？如何檢視低碳社會與綠色經濟？以及如何研擬與推動低碳社會與綠色經濟之策略？已成為國際社會推動低碳社會與綠色經濟關心的課題。
本研究首先依據國際評量低碳社會之內涵，建立包括：(1)低碳國家、(2)低碳產業、(3)綠色就業、(4)低碳生活及(5)低碳環境等五大低碳社會評量架構，並分別建立相關指標項目，衡量台灣低碳社會發展狀態。其次，本研究依據聯合國環境規劃署(United Nation Environment Program, UNEP, 2011)提出的綠色經濟發展架構，建立以綠色國民所得帳(Green Gross National Product, GGDP)為主體的綠色經濟發展指標架構。
本研究進一步以EViews時間序列計量軟體，推估我國至2050年之低碳社會與綠色經濟發展趨勢，並設定不同情境，模擬分析不同政策工具之效果，提供政府制定低碳社會與綠色經濟發展政策之參考。

關鍵字

低碳社會 ； 綠色經濟

並列摘要

In order to solve global warming and climate change, to let our country become a low carbon society and the green economy has become development goals in advanced countries in recent years. What are a low-carbon society and the green economy? How to evaluate a low-carbon society and the green economy? How to plan and promote low-carbon society and the green economy strategies? All of these questions are important issues in the international community.
According to the previous assessments, this study first establish an assessment framework including: (1) low-carbon country, (2) low-carbon industries, (3) green jobs, (4) low-carbon life, and (5) low-carbon environment, as well as establish the indicators to measure the development state of Taiwan's low-carbon society. Therefore, according to UNEP (United Nation Environment Program, UNEP, 2011) framework for green economic development, this study establishes the indicators of green economic based on Green Gross National Product (GGDP).
EViews software was used in this study to estimate the low-carbon society and green economic development trends in Taiwan up to 2050. Different scenarios, simulation analysis of the effects of policies were set to provide Taiwan government to plan the green economy development policies.

並列關鍵字

low-carbon society ； green economy

參考文獻

行政院環境保護署 ：http://www.epa.gov.tw/

李堅明、陳建智(2008)，台灣脆弱性指標建構與評估之研究

李堅明、周春櫻(2009)，台灣永續能源發展指標建構與耦合性分析

McKinsey and Company (2009), “Pathways to a Low-Carbon Economy…Version 2 of Global Greenhouse Gas Abatement cost Curve”.

IAEA, 2005, “Energy Indicators for Sustainable Development: Guidelines and Methodologies”, Austria