運動犯罪：假球與賭博的賽局分析

蔡宇豪

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運動犯罪：假球與賭博的賽局分析

Crime in the Sports:A game analysis between match-fixing and gambling

蔡宇豪 , Masters　　Advisor：劉楚俊　　

繁體中文

遊說裁判；應用賽局；明星選手；賭博；假球； match-fixing ； applied game ； lobbying the referee ； star players ； gambling

Abstract │ Reference (11) │ Times Cited (3) │ Altmetrics

Abstract 〈TOP〉

Parallel Abstract 〈TOP〉

In view of the rampant spread betting and match-fixing in the sports world , we want from a team , a star player , a bookie , a gambler point of view to analyze this case study . First, according to the characteristics of each of four participants to establish their own utility function to explore the relationship between the participants , then use game theory as a method of analysis to find conditions occur , and what started reducing from star player to accept a bribe incentives, and prevention a bride of the bookie. We find that , under the participants were in line with the four conditions will cause the star player match-fixing and gambling equilibrium occur. After adding external factors , the referee , then the team , the bookie , the stars are more uncertain , depending on the degree of its probability referee''s whistle with star talent to compete . In order to achieve at least try to make the star to do his/her best of the purpose of the game , the official shall be independent from the improved catch and raise the probability of fixing the degree of punishment star proceed ; remainder satisfaction need to get star players to win more than bribery deducting punitive ; official need to strengthen referee security measures and so on. When the bookie lobbying referee and the referee gambling situations exist , the bookie at this time will emerge as the dominant strategy is “no bribe” , star players will try to do his/her best , suppress the occurrence of match-fixing cases effectively . However, if the probability of influence of lobbying and gambling is not the same, the results still need to discuss.

Reference ( 11 ) 〈TOP〉

3. 謝紹群(2011)，中華職棒假球案原因初探，國立台灣大學管理學院商學研究所碩士論文。
連結：
1. Bag,P.K. and B.Saha,2011. “Match-ﬁxing under competitive odds.” Games and Economic Behavior,Vol.73,pp.318–344.
連結：
2. Becker,G.S.,1968. “Crime and Punishment: An Economic Approach.” Journal of Political Economy,Vol.76,No.2,pp.169-217.
連結：
3. Eber,N.,2002, “Credibility and Independence of the World Anti-Doping Agency: A Barro-Gordon-Type Approach to Antidoping Policy.” Journal of Sports Economics,Vol.3,No.1,pp. 90-96.
連結：
4. Haugen,K.K.,2004, “The Performance-Enhancing Drug Game.” Journal of Sports Economics,Vol.5,No.1,pp.67-86.
連結：

Times Cited (3) 〈TOP〉

Altmetrics

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