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Anatomy of Physician Distribution in Taiwan: A Spatial Quantile Regression Analysis

台灣醫師分佈剖析:空間分量迴歸分析

摘要


Recent expansion in medical education has substantially increased the supply of physicians. The literature has documented that a greater supply of physicians may not reduce the inequality of physician distribution measured by the Gini Coefficient or other single measures of inequality. However, more careful evaluation is required to determine the keys to addressing the allocation problems. We use a quantile regression with a spatial lag setup to investigate the distributional patterns of physician density among townships in Taiwan between 2010 and 2018. We find that the increased total number of physicians improved the physician density more in the townships on the lower quantiles than elsewhere in the distribution. This implies that physicians have been allocated more to the needier areas and this therefore improves the access to health care in these areas even though the inequality measured by the Gini coefficient gets worse. In general, the share of the aged population, median income, and whether a place has a medical center have greater and positive impacts on physician density in the higher quantiles. On the contrary, having a regional hospital generates a larger positive impact in the lower quantiles. The results suggest that regional hospitals have greater policy implications than medical centers in improving the allocation of physician services.

並列摘要


近年來醫學系的擴張已顯著提升台灣醫師總量。文獻顯示增加醫師總量未必改善吉尼係數或其他指標衡量的醫師分配不均度。然而本文使用分量迴歸模型結合空間滯後效果顯示,台灣自2010年起醫師總數增加對低分量的鄉鎮醫師密度改善程度較大。即便吉尼係數顯示不均程度加重,研究結果顯示醫師分佈已移往醫療相對匱乏地區,因此改善了此地區的醫療可近性。總體看來,老年人口比、所得中位數、擁有醫學中心對高分量醫師密度有較大的正向影響。相反的擁有區域醫院則對低分量有較大的正向影響。這顯示區域醫院對改善醫師服務的分配不均有較大的政策意義。

參考文獻


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