東亞秩序變遷與美中及區域國家之政策調適：「雙軌二元安全體系」下美中兩強與區域國家之選擇

The Observation and Analysis of the Order in East Asia: The Choice of the US, China and Regional Countries in the Dual-track and Binary Security System

王力(Lee Wang)

《亞洲政經與和平研究》 10期 (2022/08) Pp. 49-73

摘要

當前的東亞區域秩序同時存在著兩種安全體系；一種是由中國主導的經濟安全體系，一種是由美國主導的軍事安全體系。當新冠肺炎疫情結束後，上述這種雙軌二元的安全體系還會在東亞區域延續嗎？本文認為，這種獨特的區域秩序會不會延續，華府和北京的決定十分關鍵。然而，東亞區域內多數國家的利益偏好是讓雙軌二元的安全體系獲得延續，同時並不想在美國和中國之間做出沒有彈性的立場選邊。在此情況下，美中都會避免自己成為破壞雙軌二元體系的行為者，除非東亞國家同時在軍事與經濟安全上開始明顯只與特定某一強權結盟。

關鍵字

東亞秩序 ； 軍事安全 ； 經濟安全 ； 權力平衡 ； 雙軌二元安全體系

並列摘要

Currently, there are two security system in the East Asia; one is the economic security system guided by China, and the other is the military security system dominated by the United States. However, after the end of the COVID-19 pandemic, will this ＂dual-track and binary security system (DTBS system)＂ continue in the region? This article argues that the continuation of this unique regional order depends on the strategic concerns of both Washington and Beijing. Moreover, the preference of most countries in East Asia is to maintain the DTBS system, and they do not want to take an inflexible position between the US and China at the same time. In this case, both the US and China would avoid becoming actors undermining the DTBS system. The only exception is that regional countries begin to align their military and economic interests with only one great power.

並列關鍵字

Order of East Asia ； Military Security ； Economic Security ； Balance of Power ； Dual-track and Binary Security System