人口結構逐漸高齡化的趨勢,使瞭解高齡者的運輸需求,再據以對現有運輸系統進行評估及分析發展策略,成爲相當重要的研究議題。本研究目的在評估高齡者對都市運輸系統之需求,並據以研提發展策略。以台北市之浩然敬老院院民爲研究對象,首先藉由文獻回顧整理出評估準則,再運用專家及高齡者之問卷調查與分析網路程序法爲各準則決定權重,藉以評估高齡者對都市運輸系統之需求項目與相對重要性;最後利用前瞻後顧法評估現有運輸系統,並經由策略設計與反覆調查評估過程,分析都市運輸系統因應高齡化社會的未來發展策略。本研究重要成果有以下四項:一是歸納整理出一套清楚且完整考量高齡者運輸需求的評估系統;二是釐清高齡者對運輸系統各項需求特性之相對重視程度,可提供未來研究在評估運輸系統方案上的參考依據;三是瞭解高齡者及專家對運輸系統適用性之判斷差異性;最後是確認政府應該積極進行「推廣交通安全教育與訓練」與「改善既有交通設施」二項策略,以符合高齡者需求,爲高齡者建立美好的移動環境。
Because of the tendency of aging population, it is very important to explore the transportation demand of elders and develop strategies of urban transportation systems according to their demand. The objective of this study was to figure elders' needs for urban transportation systems and develop transportation strategies for elders. The study began with developing evaluation criteria via literature review. Then questionnaire surveys on an elder, who lives in Taipei Municipal Haoran Senior Citizens Home, where processed. Analytic network process and forward-backward approach were employed to explore elder's demand on urban transportation systems and to develop necessary strategies. This study achieve the following contributions: first, a clear and comprehensive evaluation system for assessing that elder's transportation demand is recommended. Second, the relative importance or weight for each criterion is investigated, and can be applied to evaluate transportation projects. Third, the opinion distinctions of urban transportation systems between expert and elder are identified. Finally, this study recommends the government to the following two strategies: (1) popularizing transportation safety education and training, and (2) improving the existed transportation facilities. The strategies will satisfy elder's demand and establish a nice moving environment for elders.