國際航空旅客入境台灣攜入動物產品違規風險

本研究評估國際機場入境台灣旅客違規攜入動物產品的風險。分析資料取自2003年10月至2005年9月從中正國際機場及2004年10月至2005年9月的高雄國際機場入境旅客的檢疫資料，包括旅客違規攜入動物產品的種類、來源地區、數量、重量、查獲方式與月份及旅客年齡、性別與國籍等因子，以建立風險分析模式，並針對月違規、國籍性別違規及國籍違規等，以@RISK®軟體蒙地卡羅模擬分析比較旅客實際違規量與模擬量及風險值。統計結果顯示自中正機場自2004年10月至2005年9月之違規率較前一年同期低，顯示宣導與檢疫成效有進步，而兩機場之最高違規率都是發生在農曆年節期間。就國籍性別模擬而言，中正及高雄機場皆以台灣籍男性旅客違規量最高，但風險值以外國籍女性旅客最高；中正機場模擬預測以東南亞地區籍旅客風險值最高，高雄機場以中國籍旅客最高。依風險評估結果顯示東南亞地區籍與中國籍旅客應為檢疫執行重點。

關鍵字

動物產品；量化風險評估；航空旅客

並列摘要

The aim of this study was to evaluate the violation risk of illegal carrying animal products by air-passengers at international airport. Violation data were retrieved from the Bureau of Animal and Plant Health Inspection and Quarantine (BAPHIQ) in Taiwan. The data of Chiang Kai-Shek International Airport (CKS) are during 2003/1011 to 2005/9/30, and those of Kaohsiung International Airport (KHH) are during 2004/1011 to 2005/9/30. The violation data were classified according to types, origins, weights of animal products, month of violation, passenger's age, gender and nationality. Monte Carlo simulations with 5000 iterations were applied to estimate the predicted violation numbers considering each risk factor. The results showed that BAPHIQ at CKS improved its inspection efficiency during 2004/1011 to 2005/9/30 than the previous year by showing a relative lower violation risk. During the period of Chinese Lunar New Year, CKS and KHH are both had higher violation risks than those of other month period. The simulation results showed that male Taiwanese passengers have the greatest violations, but Non-Taiwanese-related females have the highest risk. Passengers at CKS from South East Asia countries showed the highest violation risk, but it was Chinese-related passengers at KHH. Animal-quarantine authority in Taiwan should focus on passengers of the above two nationalities in each international airport.

並列關鍵字

animal products ； quantitative risk assessment ； air-passenger

國際替代計量

國際航空旅客入境台灣攜入動物產品違規風險

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