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摘要


In many practical situations, we only know a few first moments of a random variable, and out of all probability distributions which are consistent with this information, we need to select one. When we know the first two moments, we can use the Maximum Entropy approach and get normal distribution. However, when we know the first three moments, the Maximum Entropy approach does not work. In such situations, a very efficient selection is a so-called skew normal distribution. However, it is not clear why this particular distribution should be selected. In this paper, we provide an explanation for this selection.

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