A Note on Neglect Defaulting

Howard Margolis

《Judgment and Decision Making》 3卷4期 (2008/04) Pp. 355-363

並列摘要

I introduce the notion of ”neglect defaulting,” which labels the propensity to neglect possibilities which are ordinarily sensibly neglected. In familiar contexts we are well-tuned to recognize when to override the default. But outside the range of familiar experience-here in the artificial context of puzzles-these ordinarily benign defaults can make it difficult for even sophisticated subjects, such as readers of this note, to avoid responses which on reflection will be seen as obviously mistaken. A detail of particular importance is that, although subjects are easily prompted to take one step in the direction of reaching a sound response, the tendency to then neglect to consider that another step may be needed is remarkably strong. In each of the five examples the needed but usually neglected second step is quite trivial. Concluding remarks point to consequences for larger questions outside the range of familiar experience, in politics and other contexts out of scale with everyday experience.

並列關鍵字

puzzle problems ； Bertrand's box ； Wason selection task ； economic games ； heuristics ； defaults