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美國全球軍力部署調整計畫與亞太地區安全的發展

U.S. Global Defense Posture Review and the Asia-Pacific Regional Security

摘要


從布希總統2001年就任起,在新保守主義人士(Neoconservatives)主導下,就積極檢討美國國防戰略與軍事戰略,其中美軍的全球軍力部署(Global Posture)計畫更是檢討的焦點之一,因為海外軍事展現(Military Presence)代表著美國的國力,以及對盟國友邦的安全承諾與嚇阻敵國侵略的實力。歷經三年多的檢討,布希總統利用2004年總統選舉的機會宣布《全球軍力部署調整計畫》(U.S. Global Defense Posture Review),將撤回六至七萬軍人回國,但此調整計畫並不是只撤回兵力,更重要地是重新部署兵力與海外軍事基地,以及提升盟國的軍事能力與支援美軍作戰的能力。當布希政府贏得連任之後,《全球軍力部署調整計畫》將陸續執行,勢必衝擊全球政治局勢,特別是在歐洲及亞洲地區的區域安全與穩定。此調整計畫對亞太地區與臺海兩岸安全的衝擊,更是值得關注的議題。因此,本文將首先探討此計畫的背景因素與內容概要,其次分析美國在亞太地區的軍力部署,進而探討此計畫對亞太地區與兩岸關係安全的影響,最後就此計畫執行可能產生的軍事管理問題與外交衝擊來加以討論。

並列摘要


Since George W. Bush became U.S. President in 2001, under the Neoconservatives's dominance, Bush administration had been considering changes to American national security and military strategy, particularly American global military presence. August 16, 2004, President Bush announced an overseas military basing strategy called Global (Defense) Posture Review (GPR) during his presidential election campaign, declaring his decision to redeploy approximately 70,000 soldiers and 100,000 military members and civilian employees back to U.S. homeland in the next decade. Before the President's address, the Department had been reviewing U.S. military posture around the world for quite some time, assessing the most appropriate and effective ways to realign a post-Cold War force posture to address 21(superscript st) century threats. In fact the GPR is not primarily about withdrawing U.S. military forces from around the world. It is about reconfiguring their military basing structure, i.e., ”global military footprint,” to make it more efficient in the post-Cold War era and to make it easier to deploy forces in the changed geopolitical environment. Therefore, this article will begin with an analysis of the GPR's background. It will then examine the outline of the GPR and assess the GPR's effects on the security in Asia-Pacific region and Taiwan Strait. The conclusion will then explore the military management issues and diplomatic impacts to the implementation of the GPR.

參考文獻


莫大華(2004)。論析美國「防止擴散安全提議」的發展與展望。遠景基金會季刊。5(3),27-98。
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