- 期刊
綠水青山如何造就「金山銀山」？浙江省安吉縣鄉村養老地產開發公私協力模式問卷調查分析
How to Make Green Countryside as National Treasure: A Public-Private Partnership Questionnaire for the Pension Real Estate in Anji County of Zhejiang Province
摘要
習近平「共同富裕」包括物質富足、精神富有與生態富裕等三個層面，其任職浙江省委書記期間的兩山理論「綠水青山就是金山銀山」，在十多年後寫入中國共產黨十九大報告，近期廿大報告中亦出現二次，成為生態文明思想的重要成分。在中國大陸接連受到美中貿易戰，全球供應鏈變遷衝擊，新冠疫情肆虐，以及國內總體經濟金融與產業秩序重整等內外衝擊下，合乎當局維持社會穩定且可望成為經濟增長動力的項目，現況與發展潛力都值得逐一加以檢視，俾評估其經濟前景。浙江省安吉縣身為習近平兩山理論思想誕生地與踐行典範，可說是觀察共同富裕政策試點的浙江省，能否兼顧城鄉生態與經濟發展平衡的最佳個案。本文於2020年起就浙江省安吉縣鄉村養老地產的政府－民營資本合作模式，包括公務部門、建設與投資，以及融資等三方相關單位，依相關理論編制並發放問卷之後，回收整理進行迴歸分析，試圖找出激發各方參與積極性的決定性因素，研判後續進展，進而對兩山理論可能成效進行初步預測。研究結果顯示，投資及建設方從事鄉村養老地產公私合作意願頗高，但對於地方政府與金融業提供支持的滿意度均偏低，地方政府意願似亦不若中央宣傳力度。相關工作經驗與發展難度較低，是促進各方從事該產業重要因素，機構規模大小與短期成本回收並非主要考量。金融業支持對於提升投資參與意願的效果，須視貸款優惠、政府確保資訊透明、且提供相關監管擔保措施等條件。
並列摘要
The "two-mountain theory" proposed by Xi Jinping in 2005 has been the main part of "common prosperity" of the Chinese Communist Party. As the birthplace and pilot zone of the theory, the Anji County in Zhejiang Province is, of course, the best place to evaluate the feasibility of the policy. In this article, we created a questionnaire for the public, investing and constructing, and financial institutions in Anji Country to see how the three sectors developed pension real estate according to the idea of public-private partnership (PPP). Our ordered logistic regressions show that the willingness of investing and constructing sector is higher than public and financial sectors that are supposed to firmly follow the central policies. Moreover, investing and constructing sector shows relatively low satisfactions about the support from public and financial sectors. The key determinants to push the pension real estate are not short-term profits and scales of the three sectors, but working experience and lower difficulty in the countryside. The effect of financial support depends on specific loan preferential conditions and the government's guarantee and information transparency.