制度化下的中共菁英晉升：接班人栽培的觀點

Elite Promotion of the CCP under Institutionalization: A Notion of Successor Cultivation

黃信豪(Hsin-Hao Huang)

《中國大陸研究》 56卷1期 (2013/03) Pp. 33-60

https://doi.org/10.30389/MCS.201303_56(1).0002

摘要

本文以社會流動觀點出發，透過對菁英晉升模式的歸納來理解中共幹部任命的特色。在當前制度化的脈絡下，筆者認為中共的幹部任命已出現「接班人栽培」的思維：包括「早期挑選」與「能力測試」兩面向。從菁英流動來看，包括被甄拔的年齡以及工作的輪調與安排，可視為黨如此措施的具體表徵。本研究以十五屆至十七屆中央委員會成員為研究案例，證實了接班人栽培的相關成分能系統性的解釋中共菁英晉升的結果。此外，本文也嘗試以如此的接班人栽培概念，界定2012年中共十八大可能晉升的菁英群體。

關鍵字

中共 ； 菁英晉升 ； 接班人栽培 ； 中央委員 ； 量化分析

並列摘要

Based upon the perspective of social mobility theory, this paper attempts to identify the nature of CCP's cadre appointment system by depicting the pattern of elite promotion. Deriving from the current political context that is being institutionalized, the paper proposes a notion of successor cultivation combining the two aspects-early selection and capability testing. From the perspective of elite mobility, the age for being selected and work arrangement/transfer would be a battery of representations under this notion. The empirical evidence of this study is based on the CC members for the period from the 15th to 17th Party Congresses, and the author confirms how the two parts of successor cultivation can explain the outcomes of elite promotion. Following the notion of successor cultivation, this paper also suggests several candidates for leadership promotion at the CCP's 18th Party Congress in 2012.

並列關鍵字

Chinese Communist Party ； elite promotion ； successor cultivation ； central committee members ； quantitative analysis

參考文獻

()。

大事件編輯部(2011)。十八大政治局之選。香港:明鏡出版社。

丁望(2002)。曾慶紅與夕陽族接班人。香港:當代名家出版社。

中共中央組織部編、中共中央黨史研究室編(2004)。中國共產黨歷屆中共委員大辭典（1921-2003）。北京:中共黨史出版社。

馬駿編、侯一麟編(2008)。公共管理研究。上海:上海人民出版社。