台中市都市永續發展系統動態模擬模式之研究

A Study on the Dynamic Simulation Model for the Sustainable Development of Taichung City

何友鋒(Yu-Feng Ho) ； 王小璘(Hsiao-Lin Wang) ； 陸建浩(Chien-Hao Lu)

《建築學報》 41期 (2002/10) Pp. 107-128

https://doi.org/10.6377/JA.200210.0107

摘要

台中市誠如台灣地區其他都市一樣，面臨嚴重的都市問題，其中以土地和資源不合理的規劃與使用為甚，導致生活的空間與時間超出了當時當地的環境容量，都市生態環境受到亟大破壞。有鑒於此，本研究結合永續發展與都市生態學理論，將台中市視為一個整體，以系統分析的方法，利用德爾菲專家意見調查篩選台中市都市永續發展指標，並以系統動態學的技術，探討系統內部各子系統之間的反饋關係，建構動態模式，利用台中市歷史數據及資料模擬台中市都市社會經濟的動態變化，以追求台中市永續發展的角度，規劃台中市未來都市合理的經營及管理策略。

關鍵字

永續發展 ； 系統動態學 ； 動態模擬模式

並列摘要

In Taichung City considerable concern exists about urban problems, such as the deterioration of living conditions, overcrowding and empty dwellings, traffic congestion, the shortage of open space and many other aspects of urban social, economic and environmental situations. Most of the existing planning methods in this context addressed only one or two of these three aspects. The purpose of this study is to develop an integrated framework for establishing a sustainable urban structure to maintain a balanced relationship between human needs and urban ecology. A dynamic simulation model, combining urban ecological theory with system dynamic techniques is suggested so that sustainable multiple urban development objectives can be pursued to achieve a better quality of life for every citizen, now and for generations to come.

並列關鍵字

sustainable development ； system dynamic ； dynamic simulation model

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