鐵公路系統氣候變遷脆弱度及風險地圖之研究

VULNERABILITY AND RISK MAPS FOR RAILWAY AND HIGHWAY SYSTEMS

張瓊文(Chiung-Wen Chang) ； 蕭為元(Wei-Yuan Hsiao) ； 張益城(Yi-Cheng Chang) ； 謝奇良(Chi-Liang Hsieh) ； 李家齊(Chia-Chi Li)

《運輸計劃季刊》 45卷4期 (2016/12) Pp. 251-276

摘要

鐵公路系統是重要基礎設施，對於國家經濟發展及民眾生活影響甚鉅。然而，氣候變遷衝擊日漸加劇，鐵公路系統受災風險不斷升高，實有必要掌握主要鐵公路系統在氣候變遷下之脆弱度及風險熱點，以利因應氣候變遷之衝擊。本研究參考國內外有關氣候變遷脆弱度及風險評估之文獻與經驗作法，依據2014年之「第五次氣候變遷評估報告(AR5)」定義脆弱度與 風險的精神，進行主要鐵公路系統之脆弱度及風險評估。藉由水利署淹水潛勢及中央地質調查所地質災害潛勢等圖資之應用，聚焦於極端降雨，進一步建立主要鐵公路系統氣候變遷脆弱度及風險評估指標並產出脆弱度及風險地圖。期有助於相關機關掌握交通部門氣候變遷下調適重要課題並規劃相關作為。

關鍵字

鐵路 ； 公路 ； 脆弱度 ； 風險地圖 ； 調適

並列摘要

The railway and highway systems are essential infrastructure for the national economic development and the people's life. However, the risks of damage to these systems are increasing with the aggravated impacts of climate change. To reduce the impacts on the railway and highway systems, we have to investigate the vulnerability and evaluate the risks caused by climate extreme firstly. This study reviewed domestic and international literatures and experiences relative to the vulnerability and risks of extreme events. According to the concept of vulnerability and risks in the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report (AR5), this study defined the vulnerability and risks of the railway and highway systems to assess impacts and the likelihood of disasters. Then, focused on the extreme rainfall, and used the flood potential maps from Water Resources Agency and the geological hazard potential maps from Central Geological Survey to build vulnerability and risk maps. The results could be good for the authorities of railway and highway systems to master the adaptation issues of climate change and plan the adaptation actions further.

並列關鍵字

Railway ； Highway ； Vulnerability ； Risk map ； Adaptation

參考文獻

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change=IPCC(2007).IPCC Fourth Assessment Report (AR4)-Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability.Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change=IPCC.

(2013)。交通設施因應氣候變遷之脆弱度評估作業探討。交通部運輸研究所。

United Nations Environment Programme=UNEP(2009).IEA Training Manual.

Lee, D. K.,Jung, H. C.,Kim, H. G.,Song, C. K.,Yu, J. A.(2012).The Vulnerability Assessment for Local Adaptation to Climate Change in Korea.the 17th AIM International Workshop.(the 17th AIM International Workshop).:

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change=IPCC(2014).IPCC Fifth Assessment Report (AR5)- Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability.