災害治理與直轄市洪災調適策略評估

由於臺灣位於極易受災的地區，如何針對各層級的國土空間規劃與管理，考慮減低其脆弱因子，提昇回復能力的手段，已成為重要的研究課題，災害治理也因此成為都會治理中非常重要的議題。本研究嘗試應用這些概念在都市空間規劃與管理上，並建立評估指標與模式，目的在應用模糊德爾菲法與分析網路程序法，於洪災調適策略規劃，希望能夠建立具體可操作，並適用於都市之調適策略評估指標與模式，提供各級政府制定相關空間規劃政策與災害管理策略之參考，包括加強生態土地使用規劃、禁止超限利用、加強集水區的保育、土地開發總量管制、劃設縣市國土保育地區、都市計畫通盤檢討。

關鍵字

洪災；調適；模糊德爾菲法；分析網路程序法

並列摘要

Since Taiwan is located in a disaster prone area, how to reduce vulnerabilities and enhance resilience of environment have become very important issues for spatial planning and management for different levels of government. This study tries to apply concepts to urban level spatial planning and management and establishes assessment indictors and a model. The purpose of this research is to apply fuzzy Delphi and analytical network processes to flood adaptation strategic planning. This study establishes a proper adaptation strategy assessment model which is suitable at the urban level. Through this kind of research we provide some principles and strategies for future spatial planning and disaster management policies, including strengthening ecological land-use planning, prohibiting overload exploitation, strengthening the conservation of catchment areas, establishing growth control quotas, delineating the counties of the national conservation area, and making overall inspections to the urban planning.

並列關鍵字

flood ； adaptation ； fuzzy Delphi ； analytical network process

參考文獻

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