印度的巴基斯坦政策－在國會攻擊事件後採行強制外交的成效與侷限

India's Policy towards Pakistan after the Attack on Parliament: The Achievements and Limits of Coercive Diplomacy

方天賜(Tien-Sze Fang)

《遠景基金會季刊》 3卷4期 (2002/10) Pp. 69-96

https://doi.org/10.7063/PQ.200210.0069

摘要

2001年12月13日印度國會遭到恐怖分子攻擊，印巴兩國的緊張關系再度昇高。印度采取了強制外交的手段，意圖藉此遏止巴基斯坦援助及教唆恐怖分子越境進行恐怖主義活動。為了達成此一目標，印度有計劃地昇高與巴基斯坦的衝突，并且不排除在外交攻勢失敗後，采取武力手段解決爭端。本文意圖以強制外交作為分析的理論架構，從國際環境、國內因素及策略應用等層面來檢視印度對巴國外交作為的成效與局限性。

關鍵字

印巴關係 ； 印度外交政策 ； 強制外交

並列摘要

After the December 13 attack on the Indian Parliament, tension between India and Pakistan has been on the rise. However, what is surprising about India's strategy against Pakistan is that it has resorted to coercive diplomacy to persuade Pakistan to stop aiding and abetting cross-border terrorism. In pursuit of India's demand for the end of the cross-border terrorism, the Indian government has deliberately escalated the confrontation with Pakistan over last several months by using the threat of punishment and has not ruled out the military option if the diplomatic offensives fail. Using coercive diplomacy as a theoretical starting point, this study aims to explore the recent India-Pakistan conflict from the dimensions of international environment, internal dynamics and statecraft, and how these factors have affected coercive diplomacy. It is expected to shed some light on the understanding of recent developments in India-Pakistan relations.

並列關鍵字

India-Pakistan Relations ； India's Foreign Policy ； Coercive Diplomacy

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