從「以商圍政」看北京對香港的統戰政策

Beijing's United Front Policy Towards Hong Kong - Securing Political Power through the Support of the Business Community

鄭宇碩(Joseph Y.S. Cheng)

《遠景基金會季刊》 5卷2期 (2004/04) Pp. 197-217

https://doi.org/10.7063/PQ.200404.0197

摘要

中國當局與香港工商界所組成的「非神聖同盟」，具有相當穩固的政經基礎。北京方面尊重香港工商界的利益，彼此共同努力抑制香港的民主化進程。隨著中國經濟的發展，香港企業家越來越重視中國市場，渠等與中國領導階層建立良好關係亦益形重要。在可預見的未來，上述情況不會出現太大的改變。如果特區政府表現出色、香港經濟有一定的增長、社會上的矛盾能夠有效控制，那麼「非神聖同盟」自然不致受到太大的挑戰。否，香港的社會穩定就不能保證，營商環境也難免受到衝擊。較長遠而言，中國領導人不能拒絕回應香港市民的民主訴求。與此同時，香港貧富距懸殊的情況持續加劇，要維持社會及政治穩定，特區政府就不可能只照顧工商界而忽略整體市民的利益。

關鍵字

統戰政策 ； 中英談判 ； 董建華政府 ； 七一大遊行 ； 「非神聖同盟」

並列摘要

This article analysis the ”unholy alliance” between the Chinese authorities and the Hong Kong business community, and considers that it has a strong foundation. Chinese leaders respect business interests in the territory; and both parties try to contain the local democratisation process. In view of China's economic development, Hong Kong entrepreneurs accord a rising priority to the China market, good relations with the Chinese authorities become increasingly important. Hong Kong's major business groups have also reached an impressive scale with substantial financial resources, bence they carry considerable weight in the eyes of the Chinese leadership. In the foreseeable future, the above situation will not change significantly. If the Hong Kong government performs well, achieving respectable economic growth and reasonable control of the social contradictions, then the ”unholy alliance” will not be severely challenged. If it loses the support of the people, with the economy stagnating and social contradictions exacerbating, then political stability cannot be guaranteed and even the business environment will deteriorate. In the longer term, Chinese leaders cannot refuse to respond to the community's demand for democracy. At the same time, the gap between the rich and the poor has been widening, and the Hong Kong government cannot always protect business interests at the expense of ordinary people.

並列關鍵字

United Front Strategy ； Sino-Britishnegotiations ； Tung Chee-hwa Administration ； the Massive Protest Rally on July 1 (2003) ； Unholy Alliance

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