政治利益與資源分配：中國大陸各省政策影響力模型之建立與檢定

Political Interest and Resource Allocation: Construction and Examination of the Models of the Provinces' Influence upon the Central Policy in China

王嘉州(Chia-Chou Wang)

《遠景基金會季刊》 10卷1期 (2009/01) Pp. 89-134

https://doi.org/10.7063/PQ.200901.0089

摘要

本文延續研究中國大陸中央與地方權力關係之脈絡，以「政治利益」模式為底本，並參考其他理論觀點，建構出八個衡量政治利益之模型作為自變項。另以資源分配為依變項，透過統計回歸分析，得出解釋力較高之模型，進而區分各省對中央政策影響力之高低。本文研究發現，各省在中央委員會、中央政治局及其常委會的席次比率越高，所分配到的經濟資源也越多。此外，本文歸納出五點指標，有利於提高政治利益模型之解釋力；第一，在政治利益指數的衡量上應納入候補委員；第二，中央委員、政治局委員及政治局常委的指數關係可採等比模式；第三，在政治利益分配的判斷上，除現聯地外，尚須納入崛起地與錢實地；第四，崛起地之認定標準應採多重認定法；第五，政治利益分配於現戰地、崛起地與鋒實地間之比例，以0.6:0.3:0.1較佳。

關鍵字

政治利益 ； 中央委員 ； 政治局委員 ； 政治局常委 ； 中央與地方關係

並列摘要

As an extended research of the China's Central-Provincial Relationship based on the model of ”Political Interest”, this article constructs eight models of political interest scale index as independent variables by referring to other theories on the scale index and allocation judgment of political interest. Besides, through applying regression analysis by using resource allocation as dependent variables, then resulted a most powerful explanation model to differentiate provinces'influence on the central policy 　　The research found out, the higher the seat rate in the Central Committee, Politburo and Politburo Standing Committee the higher the percentage of gaining economical resources, Furthermore, this article also induces 5 indicators to well explain the resource allocation in the central government. 1,Including the alternate members to the political interest scale. 2, Central Committee members, Politburo members and Politburo Standing Committee members should share the geometric ratio. 3. Besides place of current position. place of rise to power and place of ancestry origin should be considered when making political interest allocation4. A multiple identification should be applied to the identification of place of rise to power. 5. The best ratio of political interest allocation among place of current position. place of rise to power and place of ancestry origin is 0.6:0.3:0.1

並列關鍵字

Political Interest ； Central Committee Member ； Politburo Member ； Politburo Standing Committee Member ； Central-local Relationship

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