都市地區土地利用變遷量化分析之研究

土地利用可視為滿足人類需要的社會過程，其發展深受環境及社會經濟因素所影響，因此瞭解並有效掌握土地利用變遷的過程，乃是兼顧環境保育及自然資源開發，以確保都市永續發展的首要課題。本研究即利用不同時期之土地利用資料，以統計分析探討都市地區土地利用變遷情形，並充分描述並監測各個時期之土地利用發展情形，研究中首先運用轉移機率矩陣瞭解各年度間土地利用類別之變化情形，再應用多變量集群分析各行政區間的相互關係與內部的變遷情形，同時劃設各行政區之土地利用類型同質區與土地利用變遷同質區，以利觀察各行政區之發展特性與趨勢，於總量管制之觀念下，作為土地管理與資源規劃之參考依據，以達到都市成長管理之目標。研究成果顯示此地區都市發展集中於地勢較低之西南半部，發展趨勢則逐漸偏向東部與北部進行，惟此地區之土地利用發展情形尚未充分開發。

關鍵字

土地利用變遷分析；轉移機率矩陣；集群分析

並列摘要

Land use can be seem as a procedure of society to fulfill the desire of human being, the development have profoundly been influenced by the environment and society economics. Furthermore to recognize and to effectively possess the land removal process is the environment precautions and natural resources development responsibility to ensure the urban development maintain as a foremost syllabus. This research employ various land use records and bring into play statistic analysis and discuss urban district land removal state, it also describe and assess the various land use development state. The research centre foremost employ transition probability matrixes to comprehend various land use and the transform condition on yearly basis. Moreover, applying multivariable cluster analysis and diverse department interactive relation and the internal alteration state at the same time design diverse department's land use homogeneity region in order to monitor all departments development characteristic and movement. Furthermore the overall management vision as a basis of land management and resources proposal it is to be use as a guideline to attain the urban growth and to achieve the objective of such management. The research result have shown such region in the urban development have concentrated in the inferior terrain in the south-east district likewise such development have commence away towards west and north neighborhood, in these district the land usage and development state have yet to be develop entirely.