俄烏情勢與兩岸關係：地緣戰略與比較的觀點

Russia-Ukraine Tension and the Cross Strait Relations: Geopolitical and Comparative Perspective

黃柏欽(Po-Chin Huang)

《國防雜誌》 29卷5期 (2014/09) Pp. 43-66

https://doi.org/10.6326/NDJ.2014.29(5).3

摘要

俄羅斯兼併克里米亞及烏東地區的分離運動，引起各方對俄羅斯是否重拾擴張主義的憂慮，擔心俄羅斯會複製喬治亞的南奧塞提亞模式，使烏克蘭陷於分裂的局面，再度將其勢力範圍恢復至蘇聯時期的規模，從而改變冷戰後的世界格局。兩岸關係與俄烏關係存在著頗高的相似性，俄烏情勢的發展，以及歐美對此次俄烏局勢的態度與因應，給予我國在規劃未來兩岸關係的政治、經濟及軍事戰略有相當高的參考價值，深植有關單位持續關注與研究。

關鍵字

兩岸關係 ； 俄烏緊張 ； 克里米亞

並列摘要

Russia's invasion of Crimea and Eastern Ukraine region has created fear around the world. The world worries that Russia will continue its expansionism and duplicate the methods used in its 2008 invasion of South Ossetia. The Ukraine will be separated and Russian influence will return to the level of the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics (USSR) period. The post-cold war period of globalization will be replaced by a new cold war. The cross strait relations are similar to the pre-invasion relations between Ukraine and Russia. The similarities of these relationships suggest to us that the attitudes and actions of the American and European governments to the current situation are reference points to gauge American and European political, economic, and military strategies in a future cross strait crisis. Interested departments in Taiwan should stay abreast of the current conflicts and plan accordingly.

並列關鍵字

Cross-Strait Relations ； Russia-Ukraine Tensions ； Crimea