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中印關係的美國因素:競爭或合作

The US Factor on Sino-Indian Relations: Competition or Cooperation?

摘要


美國歐巴馬政府國家安全顧問蘇珊‧萊斯(SusanRice),在今年2月公布的《美國2015國家安全策略》中,重申「亞太再平衡」政策,同時宣布加強與中共建設性關係和拓展與印度的重要夥伴關係,可見美國重新定義中美印的策略三角關係,不僅對中印關係帶來結構性的改變,也對亞太安全有重要意涵。然而,依照傳統現實主義與地緣政治的觀點,大多認為美印結盟,共同制衡崛起的中共,本文認為911恐怖攻擊事件與美印核子協議讓美國重新定義南亞區域安全,但兩事件卻帶來不同結果,前者有助維持區域穩定與中印冷和的關係,而後者卻改變近10年的中美印三角關係,成為依議題而定既競爭又合作的關係。

並列摘要


According to the US National Security Strategy announced in February 2015, the national security advisor to the Obama administration Susan Rice reiterated the policy of "rebalancing to Asia-Pacific." She emphasized the importance of strengthening the constructive relationship with China and establishing partnership with India, which demonstrates that the US-Indo-China triangular relationship has critical security implications to US national interests. Nevertheless, in light of the traditional perspectives of realism and geopolitics, most believe that the emerging US-India alliance is aimed to check and balance the rising China. With the theoretical approach of the great power involvement, this paper argues that the US has redefined its national interests and re-engaged in South Asia due to the 9/11 terrorist attacks, thereby offering a cooperative platform for Sino-Indian cold peace. On the other hand, the 2006 US-Indian nuclear deal brought new dynamic variables to Sino-Indian relations, characterized by both competition and cooperation.

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