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探討ECFA對台灣未來發展之影響

Nfluence of ECFA to Future of Taiwan

摘要


ECFA「兩岸經濟合作協議」,已經兩岸代表簽署生欽,本文你從未來學的學理原則和基礎,來探討ECFA對台灣未來可能產生的影響。 現實的兩岸關像是需要ECFA,的確對彼此互利,但ECFA是否會因為其他條件的變化而變化,兩岸關係將如何互動,也是值得我們探討。 未來學的「慣性兩難原則」、「未來空問原則」、「許多可能原則」,都讓我們對於不可連續性的經驗和軌跡,存在著若干想像和應對的空間,我們不樂觀也不悲觀看待ECFA,但卻必須對於未來「變化」的因素,給予關心。也許這些「變化」,根本不可能發生,這就是用未來學學理原則和基礎來探討ECFA的意義吧!

關鍵字

ECFA 東協十國 未來學

並列摘要


ECFA has come into force after signature by representatives from both sides across the straits. This article is based on the principles and foundations of Futurology to discuss the influence ECFA may bring to the future of Taiwan. ECFA is no doubt beneficial to both sides. However, the interaction and the relationship between two sides need to be studied because of the future possible changes on ECFA due to other related situation factors ”The principle of inertial dilemma”, ”the principle of future space” and ”the principle of multiple possibilities” in the theories of Futurology” regarding impossibility of continuous experience and tracks give us ample space for imagination and establishing measures to cope with. We should remain fair and unbiased to look at the issue of ECFA. Nevertheless, we should at the same time pay great attention to the future possible factors that may change the conditions for ECFA. These changes may not occur, it is still significant to utilize the principles and foundations of Futurology to study the issue.

被引用紀錄


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李正偉(2014)。論兩岸簽署投資保障和促進協議之意涵與影響〔碩士論文,淡江大學〕。華藝線上圖書館。https://doi.org/10.6846/TKU.2014.00776
趙元碩(2014)。海峽兩岸服務貿易協議與臺資銀行中國大陸市場經營策略之研究-以H銀行為例〔碩士論文,淡江大學〕。華藝線上圖書館。https://doi.org/10.6846/TKU.2014.00488
林仁義(2012)。ECFA對兩岸政經發展影響之研究〔碩士論文,淡江大學〕。華藝線上圖書館。https://doi.org/10.6846/TKU.2012.00962
陳曜崧(2012)。台灣鋁合金輪圈廠商經營策略之研究〔碩士論文,中原大學〕。華藝線上圖書館。https://doi.org/10.6840/cycu201200046

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