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地震衝擊模擬與工業園區防災對策之研究

Research on Earthquake Impact Simulation and Disaster Prevention Countermeasures in Industrial Parks

摘要


本研究以企業防災為主軸,探討企業在因應大規模地震災害潛勢時,如何形塑企業可持續營運之規劃與管理策略。採用地震衝擊資訊平台,設定中部地區大甲斷層發生芮氏規模6.8,深度10.0公里錯動,進行地震衝擊分析,接著以修正式德爾菲法進行專家問卷調查,篩選出專業考量上具高度共識之所需救災能量指標,後運用層級分析法進行分析,尋求所需救災能量之關鍵決策構面與關鍵決策因子,研究發現:企業自主防救災能力為專家一致認為大規模震災時臺中工業園區最重要之能量指標;負責人承諾與企業文化、整體耐震補強現況與防災投資與培訓,則是影響企業整備救災能量前三名的關鍵因子。相關研究發現可作為臺中市政府推動轄內各特定區域自主防救災整備的決策參考,特別是臺中工業園區在因應大規模地震災害風險的預防與整備依據。

並列摘要


This research focuses on business disaster prevention and explores how companies can shape their sustainable operations planning and management strategies when responding to the potential of large-scale earthquake disasters. The research use the TERIA to set the Dajia fault to move and analyze the impact. Then, the revised Delphi method was used to conduct an expert questionnaire survey to screen out the required disaster prevent and rescue indicators with a high degree of consensus in professional considerations, the AHP is used for quantitative analysis. The ability of enterprises to independently prevent and rescue disasters is agreed as the most important dimension. The person in charge's commitment and corporate culture, the overall current situation of seismic reinforcement, and disaster prevention investment and training are the top three influencing factors in the ranking of weight values. Relevant research findings can be used as a reference for the Taichung City Government and Taichung Industrial Park to study and prepare the corresponding earthquake disaster prevention and maintenance decision-making.

參考文獻


USGS (2018). Earthquake Hazard Program, Retrieved Nov. 17, 2019 from https://reurl.cc/ObRvMD.
交通部中央氣象局 (2017). 地震百問, 臺北市, 國家圖書館.
臺灣地震科學中心 (2015). 50 年內發生規模 6.5 以上直下型地震之機率圖, 2019 年10 月 31 日 , 取自https://tec.earth.sinica.edu.tw/upload/TEM.pdf
吳佳容、劉淑燕、柯明淳、黃明偉、鄧敏政、吳秉儒、吳子修、柯孝勳 (2017). 地震衝擊資訊平台(TERIA)技術研發及主題式應用介面建置, 行政法人國家災害防救科技中心成果(編號:NCDR 105-T25),
日本火災学会編 (1996). 1995 年兵庫県南部地震における火災に関する調査報告書, 日本火災学会.

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