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東協區域經濟與中國大陸未來發展之研究

A Study on the Future Development of ASEAN Regional Economy and Mainland China

摘要


東協10國,在1994年5月30日的會議共同簽署了「建立東南亞10國共同體構想聲明」,1999年4月30日,柬埔寨正式參加東協,東協10國區域經濟正式形成。中國大陸與東協10國經過若干次協商和會談,終於在2002年11月於北京,彼此簽署了中國與東協全面經濟合作框架協議。決定2010年建成「中國-東協自由貿易區」,此一協議促進了中國大陸與東協10國共同在競合基礎上,面對世界經濟的挑戰,共創彼此互利互動的機會。東協10國,陸地總面積450萬平方公里,人口約5.3億,國民總生產值約7000億美元,這個經濟規模,大約為中國大陸的一半,這兩大塊經濟實體的結合,將成歐盟、北美自由貿易區之後的一個重要自由貿易區。但是東協10國各個國家的經濟發展水平,有相當大的差異,經濟結構也呈現若干不同的落差,彼此亦存在若干矛盾和衝突。因此東協10國今後將如何與中國大陸合作交流,共創彼此的機遇和互惠空間,它們將面臨那些問題和挑戰,成為了我們關心和研究的課題。

並列摘要


The Association of Southeast Asian Nations was established on 8 August 1967 in Bangkok by the five original Member Countries and was completed after Cambodia joined on 30 April 1999. After several negations and meetings, China and ASEAN signed the Framework Agreement of Comprehensive Economic Cooperation on November 2002, launching the process of establishing the China-ASEAN Free Trade Area (CAFTA) by 2010. This agreement allows China and ASEAN to share the same economic platform to overcome the challenges from the outside world and further increase the interactions for mutual benefits. The ASEAN region has a population of about 500 million, a total area of 4.5 million square kilometers, a combined gross domestic product of almost US$ 700 billion, and a total trade of about US$ 850 billion, this economic scale is approximately half of China. The combination of those 2 units will play a significant role of free trade area follows by Europe and North America. However, the economic developments of 10 countries in ASEAN are different in size and structure which may cause contradictions and conflicts. Therefore, how to find a way to communicate between China and ASEAN, to create the opportunity for the better future, and to face the challenges and problems as a unit will become a major issue and subject can be studied.

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