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A New Explanation for Excess Volatility Puzzle

超額波動之謎的一個新的解釋

摘要


於本文,我們藉由探討知訊者資訊交易時機選擇,研究促使股票價格波動的背後機制。我们研究發現:(1)投資者間的資訊不對稱是引起價格波動的重要因素;(2)若知訊者選擇延遲他們的資訊交易,股票價格波動將變得更大。本文的第一個發現與Wang(1993)的文獻結果相同;加入本文的第二個發現,我們的模型相較Wang模型可以解釋更大的價格波動。

並列摘要


In this paper, we study the stock price volatility by investigating the timing of the informational trades of the informed traders. It is shown that (1) information asymmetry among investors can increase price volatility, and (2) price volatility is further increased when informed traders choose to delay their informational trades. The first result is consistent with the finding of Wang(1993). Together with the second result, our model explains greater price volatility than Wang.

參考文獻


Barberis, N., M. Huang, and J. Santos, 2001, Prospect theory and asset prices, Quarterly Journal of Economics, vol 116, pp. 1-53. doi: 10.1162/003355301556310
Barberis, N., A. Shleifer, and R. Vishny, 1998, A model of investor sentiment, Journal of Financial Economics, vol 49, pp. 307–343. doi: 10.1016/S0304-405X(98)00027-0
Daniel, K. D. Hirshleifer, and Theo, 2001, Investor psychology in capital markets: Evidence and policy implications, Working paper. doi: 10.2139/ssrn.278848
Grossman S. J. and Stiglitz J. E., 1980, On the Impossibility of Informationally Efficient Markets, American Economic Review, 3, pp. 393-408.
Hong, H. and J. C. Stein, 1999, A unified theory of under reaction, momentum trading and overreaction in asset markets, Journal of Finance, vol 54, pp. 2143–2184. doi: 10.1111/0022-1082.00184

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