收入不确定条件下我国居民最优消费路径模型的改进与模拟

Improvement and Simulation of the Optimal Consumption Path of Chinese Residents under the Situation of Income Uncertainty

顾六宝(Liu-Bao Gu) ； 么海亮(Hai-Liang Yao)

《Journal of Data Analysis》 5卷3期 (2010/06) Pp. 73-85

https://doi.org/10.6338/JDA.201006_5(3).0005

摘要

在全球性金融危机的影响下，我国居民收入的不确定性更加明显。本文以收入不确定条件下最优消费选择理论为依据，通过将复合变参数的变量替换，改进我国居民消费最优路径模型，对我国居民的最优消费路径进行动态模拟，并根据模拟结论给出政策性建议。

關鍵字

最优消费选择 ； 预防性储蓄 ； 常绝对风险规避系数 ； 消费路径

並列摘要

Under the situation of the global financial crisis, the income uncertainty of Chinese residents is becoming more apparent. This paper that is based on the theory of the optimal consumption improves the model of optimal path of Chinese residents and Simulations simulates dynamically the optimal Consumption path to Chinese residents and gives some policy recommendations.

並列關鍵字

Optimal consumption ； Precautionary savings ； Constant absolute risk aversion coefficient ； Consumption path

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