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境外貨幣市場之整合與新加坡模式之啟示

Offshore Money Market Integration and Implications of Singapore's Experience

摘要


本研究以價格均等定律(Law of One Price)觀念為軸,運用共整測試與誤差修正模型,探討倫敦及新加坡金融中心與主要國際貨幣之國內市場是否具長期整合關係,進而証實新加坡金融發展模式之成功與否。雙變量與多變量之實證結果顯示,金融市場間已達整合,各金融市場同貨幣、同拆放期限之利率,均不偏離其長期均衡值。實證結果亦顯示,新加坡金融中心與其他金融市場之連結相當好,且具有不可忽視之影響力,其成功經驗值得借鏡。

並列摘要


Based on Law of One Price and using the cointegration concept and the error correction model, this research examines money market integration between two major offshore centers and five domestic markets. Both bivariate and multivariate empirical evidence support the hypothesis that all included markets are cointegrated together and don't drift apart from their long-term fundamental values. Empirical results also show the importance and the influential power of Singapore in the international banking society. Finally, the implications of Singapore's experience are discussed.

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