科技的採用為博物館的經營帶來競爭優勢,數位化乃當今世界各大博物館廣泛採用的策略方案。然而在此趨勢下,未來博物館界將會面臨哪些問題?哪些科技可以提供解決問題之道?而這些科技又會對博物館本身甚或經濟社會造成哪些衝擊?都是值得重視的議題。「科技前瞻」的概念乃針對前述問題,以突破傳統科技預測的手法,透過相關團體的參與及互動,具體描繪未來科技、經濟、文化與社會發展的願景,以期界定國家科技發展策略,創造社會經濟的最大利益。由美國新媒體聯盟和學習創新協會所提出的指標性報告Horizon Report,就是以此科技前瞻的概念出發,觀察新興科技運用於教育、研究、創意等文教機構所產生的影響、發展趨勢與未來的挑戰。本文即以2009年的Horizon Report為基礎,將其研究動機、研究方法與研究結果摘要討論。這份科技前瞻分析報告,應可對博物館經營者與各層研究人員有正面之啟發和助益。
Technologies have been applied in museum sector since the last half century. In the 21^(st) century, museum professionals will be more aware of the impacts caused by the continuous evolution of new technologies in a museum context. In early 2009, the New Media Consortium and the EDUCAUSE Learning Initiative collaborated to produce a representative report - The 2009 Horizon Report. The report undertaken by the international researchers is to illustrate those emerging technologies likely to have impacts on learning, research, and creative expression within learning-focused organizations. Six key technologies, key trends and critical challenges are identified and outlined in the executive summary. The key technologies include Mobile, Cloud Computing, Geo-Everything, The Personal Web, Semantic-Aware Applications and Smart Objects. The conclusion obtained from the international perspectives will be inspiring and beneficial to museum practitioners.