一、正當全球防堵新冠病毒(COVID-19)疫情擴散之際,共軍仍頻繁出動海、空軍實施「遠海長航」,其行動和路徑顯示共軍的任務目標,包括測試戰機妥善率和部隊持續作戰能力,並使部隊熟悉該區域的海空目標偵蒐。具體來說,共軍擾臺目標不僅是我國,而是整個第一、二島鏈地區,顯示中共在亞洲軍事擴張的目標不變,尤其是海、空軍。二、我國位於第一島鏈中的關鍵位置,自北邊宮古海峽到南邊巴士海峽,均為共軍出太平洋之必經路線;而共軍兵力自2015年起展開「遠海長航」訓練,兵力由南北兩處海峽進入南海或太平洋演訓,不僅達到戰場經營與軍事訓練目的,也對周遭國家傳達一定程度之政治意涵。三、近年來,共軍作戰演訓逐漸強調實戰化及走出國土訓練,著重「聯戰化、體系化」的比例愈來愈高,對臺海的安全威脅自然更大。國軍對於共軍的軍事威嚇,應秉持「備戰而不求戰、能戰才能止戰」的原則,加強建軍備戰整備,發揮創新、「不對稱作戰」思維,方能確保臺海安全。
1. Despite of Chinese political crisis sparked by the COVID-19 pandemic in domestic, People's Liberation Army increases number of sending its air force and aircraft carrier strike force maneuvering around first and second island chains to test and wear out regional countries' combat readiness, aiming to expand its military influence within island chains. 2. Taiwan island is at critical strategic position; sitting at the center of first island chain, controlling two gateways, Miyako strait at north and Bashi strait at south, monitoring PLA's entering the Pacific ocean. By constantly maneuvering through the distant waters, not only the Chinese government enhances its military operations capabilities in these waters, but it also conveys the political implication to adjacent countries. 3. In order to operate at these distant waters, PLA regularly tests and accumulates joint experiences in the region. This kind military presence at the region increase military threats and pressures to regional security and stability. ROC armed forces should enhance her military readiness and exploit innovative strategies to offset China's ill intention of military invasion.