管理貿易政策選擇之賽局理論分析

A Game Theoretical Analysis of Managed Trade Policy Choice

李陳國(Chen-Kuo Lee)

《經營管理論叢》 6卷1期 (2010/06) Pp. 73-85

https://doi.org/10.6872/OMR.201006_6(1).0004

摘要

在當今相互依存和相互協調的國際關係下，一國選擇貿易政策時不僅取決於國內特殊利益集團的賽局，而且不能不考慮國際經濟組織和他國的反應。本文的研究表明，貿易政策選擇層面上賽局納許均衡結果，決定了管理貿易是各國在無法達到最佳目標模式時所能選擇的次佳目標模式，是一種各國適應國際經濟發展，最大化其參與國際分工利益的制度安排。管理貿易理論的政策內涵是既兼有自由貿易與保護貿易屬性，又具有自己獨特的作用機制。各國會根據國際經濟環境及本國在此環境中所處的地位、本國的要素稟賦、技術及預期利益，以及他國貿易政策的變化，選擇能最大化本國利益的管理貿易政策。而且，在路徑依賴的作用下，各國所選擇的管理貿易政策具有不同的偏向性或偏向程度。

關鍵字

管理貿易 ； 賽局理論 ； 納許均衡

並列摘要

Under current interdependent and concerted international conditions, a nation has to think over the games of specific beneficial organizations when choosing trade policies, it also has to take reflection from international economic organizations and some other counties into account. We find that, the result of Nash-equilibrium of gaming on choosing trade policies decides that, managed trade is the second best choice when different countries find if difficult for them to arrive at the best aims. It is regarded as the system arrangement, with the help of which a country adapts itself to fit for international economic development, maximize itself to participate international work division. The connotation of the theory of managed trade has both free trade and protective trade. It has its own peculiar working mechanism, too. Different countries select the policy of managed trade, which can maximize their own benefit according to international economic circumstances, their own status in the circumstance, factor endowments, technology and prospective benefit, and the change of other countries trade policy. Besides, difficult countries choose different managed trade policies. That is to say, difficult counties have different preference because of path dependent.

並列關鍵字

managed trade ； game theory ； Nash equilibrium