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摘要


By establishing the SI model, the SIR model analyzes infectious disease events in health emergencies, and obtains the basic reproduction number (R_0). Discuss the SI and SIR models to select the appropriate communication model for emergencies, and use them to analyze the actual meaning and effects of manual intervention.

參考文獻


National China Youth Daily Client. The National Health Commission issued the "Diagnosis and Treatment Plan for Pneumonia Infected by New Coronavirus (Trial Version 5)" [EB/OL]. 2020 [2020-10-2020-17]. Zhou Tao, Liu Quanhui, Yang Zimo, et al. Preliminary prediction of the basic reproductive number of pneumonia infected with new coronavirus[J/OL]. Chinese Journal of Evidence-Based Medicine
Zhang Jia. SIR model and its application in SARS epidemic [EB/OL]. 2019 [2020-10-17]. https://www.doc88.com/p-05829989133160.html.
Liu Zhenzhen.. Research on the dynamics of epidemics and information dissemination on complex networks [D]. Dalian University of Technology, 2013:
Huang Lihong, Wei Yongyue, Shen Sipeng, Zhu Chouwen, Chen Feng. Research on information dissemination based on SI model[J]. Chinese Health Statistics, 2020(3): 322-326.
Zhou Tao, Liu Quanhui, Yang Zimo, Liao Jingyi, Yang Kexin, Bai Wei, Lu Xin, Zhang Wei. Preliminary prediction of the basic reproductive number of new coronavirus pneumonia[J]. Chinese Journal of Evidence-Based Medicine, 2020(3):359-364.

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