透過您的圖書館登入
IP:18.188.40.207
  • 學位論文

對中國的經濟依賴性是否會削弱東亞太區域國家的外交政策獨立性。

Is Economic Reliance on the People’s Republic of China Sinking Regional Foreign Policy Independence in the East-Asia Pacific.

指導教授 : Michael Romancov

摘要


這份文獻主要探討東亞太平洋區域各國國內生產總值大於1000億美金國家的政治和經濟之間關係對於中國的依賴性。以澳洲、印尼、日本、馬來西亞、紐西蘭、菲律賓、新加坡、南韓、泰國以及越南作為分析研究的10個國家。以兩種不同的度量方法,經濟關聯指標以及政治獨立性指標來做研究;前者包含了六個指標、後者則涵蓋了五個指標。做分析的同時,我量化這十個國家政治與經濟對中國的依賴性。在使用這兩個度量分析研究中,新加坡對中國的依賴性最高。日本相對來說,經濟關聯指標對於中國的依賴性最低。並且在與澳洲並列在政治獨立性指標中對中國依賴性最低。兩個指標也被結合起來形成一個整體中國依賴性分數評比。我的研究分析指出對中國的經濟及政治依賴程度存在適度的相關性。此外,還觀察到國內生產總值和依賴程度之間存在適度的反比關係。與中國的地理距離以及依賴程度無法在這研究中被確定指出。這些關係的性質,例如經濟和政治依賴性如何相互作用在此研究只簡要討論,但不是本研究的重點。

並列摘要


This paper has been commissioned to explore the relationship between political and economic dependency of East-Asia Pacific nations, with a GDP (nominal) of over US$100 billion, on China. Ten case nations were selected for analysis; Australia, Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia, New Zealand, the Philippines, Singapore, South Korea, Thailand, and Vietnam. Two separate metrics were created; the “Economic Entanglement Index (EEI)” and “Political Dependency Index (PDI)”, containing a total of six and five individual indicators each, respectively. Analysing this data, I was able to quantify the levels of political and economic dependency each of these ten case nations shared with China. Singapore was ranked as the most dependent nation in both categories while Japan ranked the least dependent for the EEI and tied with Australia for least dependent in the PDI. Both indexes were also combined to create an overall “Sino-dependency score”. My analysis indicated a moderate correlation between the levels of economic and political dependency on China. In addition, a moderate inverse relationship between GDP (nominal) and levels of dependency was observed. No relationship between geographic distance from China and level of dependency could be ascertained. The nature of these relationships, such as how economic and political dependency interplay is discussed briefly but was not the focus of this research.

參考文獻


1. A, Long Leeds, B. 2006. “Trading for Security: Military Alliances and Economic Agreements”. Journal of Peace Research. 43:4, 433 451
2. AIDDATA. 2021. “China's Global Development Footprint”. Retrieved from: https://www.aiddata.org/china-official-finance
3. American Enterprise Institute. 2021. “China Global Investment Tracker”. Retrieved from: https://www.aei.org/china-global-investment-tracker/
4. Australian Bureau of Statistics. 2017. “2071.0 - Census of Population and Housing: Reflecting Australia - Stories from the Census, 2016”. Retrieved from: https://www.abs.gov.au/ausstats/abs@.nsf/Lookup/by%20Subject/2071.0~2016~Main%20Features~Cultural%20Diversity%20Article~60
5. Australian Government: Department of Defence. 2020. “Marine Rotational Force – Darwin”. Retrieved from: https://www.defence.gov.au/Initiatives/USFPI/Home/MRF-D.asp

延伸閱讀