陳水扁時期的大陸政策與兩岸關係
（2000－2008年）

隨著臺灣民主化的快速發展，2000年的總統大選開啟了臺灣民主政治政黨輪替的新頁，由民進黨的陳水扁先生當選了中華民國第十任總統。因此，本研究嘗試了解陳水扁總統執政期間的大陸政策制定背景為何，以及他就任後所提出的兩岸定位論點對兩岸關係的影響，進而探討相關論點如何影響兩岸交流與國際關係。研究發現陳水扁執政八年來大陸政策轉變，來自國內、美方及中共三方面。國內民眾台灣首次政黨輪替其實是不安的，更希望兩岸事務上能有所突破，破除緊張對立與僵局。而陳水扁積極拉攏美方的支持，爭取台灣在國際上生存空間的策略，並採取模糊解釋空間的作法，但中國大陸採取「聽其言，觀其行」來因應。然而隨後陳水扁提出「一邊一國」論，經過一系列統獨議題，使兩岸的負面關係更為加劇，美方更認為陳水扁破壞台海現狀使台美關係因而生變。隨後陳水扁總統在2004年競選連任期間，提出公投綁大選的選舉策略，於連任成功時，完全不顧國際之間的默契，開始一連串「制憲」、「推動台灣正名」等台獨意味濃厚的作法，促使中國大陸在2005年制定「反分裂國家法」。隨後，2005年底三合一選舉民進黨大敗，加上陷入弊案，聲望跌落谷底。陳水扁開始推向「法理台獨」，並進而推出「入聯公投」，讓美國認為台灣是「麻煩製造者」。陳水扁總統往往根據國內政治情勢，以及本身的意識型態，不斷拋出兩岸政治議題，不但無助於兩岸關係的和緩，反而使台灣的地位越走越窄，得不到國際間的同情，距離「兩岸關係正常化」此一命題，更是漸行漸遠，最後使得再次政黨輪替。而透過本研究，希望能為往後的執政者提供前車之鑑，為兩岸開創新局。

關鍵字

陳水扁；兩岸關係；一邊一國；入聯公投；九二共識

並列摘要

With the rapid development of Taiwan's democratization, the 2000 presidential election opened a new page for the rotation of democratic political parties in Taiwan. Mr. Chen Shui-bian of the Democratic Progressive Party was elected the tenth president of the Republic of China. This study attempts to understand the background of the mainland's policy formulation during President Chen Shui-bian's administration, and the impact of the cross-strait positioning argument he proposed after taking office on cross-strait relations, and then explore how related arguments affect cross-strait exchanges and international relations. The study found that Chen Shui-bian's policy changes in the mainland during the eight years of his ruling came from three aspects: domestic, the US, and the CCP. The people of Taiwan are actually uneasy about the first rotation of political parties, hoping for a breakthrough in cross-strait affairs and breaking the tension and stalemate. And Chen Shui-bian also hopes to actively attract the support of the United States and strive for Taiwan’s international survival strategy, and adopts the method of vague interpretation of space, but mainland China responds by "listening to its words and observing its actions." However, Chen Shui-bian later put forward the theory of "one side, one country", the negative relations between the two sides of the straits were further aggravated. Subsequently, during the re-election campaign in 2004, President Chen Shui-bian proposed an electoral strategy for referendum tied-up elections. When the re-election was successful, he completely ignored the international tacit agreement and began a series of strong Taiwanese independent practices such as "make a new constitutional" and "promoting Taiwan's name correction". Promote mainland China to formulate the "Anti-Secession Law" in 2005. Subsequently, the end of 2005, the three-in-one election, the DPP's defeat, coupled with a fraud case, the reputation fell to the bottom. Chen Shui-bian began to push for "legal Taiwan independence," and then launched the "referendum on joining the United Nations," making the United States think Taiwan is a "troublemaker." President Chen Shui-bian often throws out cross-strait political issues based on the domestic political situation and his own ideology, which not only does not help to ease cross-strait relations, but also makes Taiwan’s status narrower and narrower, without international sympathy. The proposition of "normalization of cross-strait relations" is further and further away, and finally causes another party rotation. Through this study hope to provide a lesson for the ruling party in the future, and create a new situation for both sides of the strait.