- 學位論文
都會區交通空氣污染評估模式特性探討
The Assessment of a System Dynamic Based Urban Mobile Emission Management System
摘要
都會區人口集中且大量使用交通運具，使人們對交通運具依賴性日益增加，因此，交通工具為都市主要空氣污染排放源。而要探討台北都會區的交通空氣污染問題，必須將台北縣市整體納入考量，台北縣受限於無旅次移動狀況可供參考，故將其行政區依交通型態區分為東西南三大區無法合理的反應出各鄉鎮市間旅次移動情形。本研究依據陳等人過去所開發用來評估台北市交通移動污染源之管理模式，加以擴充改良，建立大台北地區交通污染源評估系統，並驗證模式的合理性與可用性，另外以此模式評估台北縣交通分區與模式所建構之路網完整性與合理性。 本研究結合旅次分析模式及交通空氣污染評估模式兩種模式。旅次分析模式的功用為處理旅次資料並尋求最佳路徑；交通空氣污染評估模式則整合運具選擇子模式、車流子模式以及交通排放子模式三種子模式，計算並比較交通建設完工及管理策略執行前後，交通空氣污染物排放改變量。 研究中利用模擬結果與台北市交通局所公佈之數據資料相比較，經此驗證模式之模擬結果與現況相符合。另外，北縣分區加以細分，使各鄉鎮市間旅次量旅次移動狀況與所產生的污染物分布較為合理且降低旅次平均分配時所產生的誤差。而在都市與交通建設發展下，將光復南北路與瑞光路建構至模式中大安、松山區與內湖區能更合理的反應出大台北現況。
並列摘要
The population in urban area is concentration and transportation transports are used largely. It causes that people depend on transportation transports progressively, Traffic emission is the main air pollutant source in urban area. To evaluate the correlation between traffic air pollutants emission and air quality of Taipei metropolitan area, one need to include two administration districts, namely Taipei City and Taipei County. The Taipei county is restricted in does not have trip of the motion condition to be possible to supply the reference, therefore, it can not reply trip migration between cities or countries, if we compartmentation the district depend on transportation condition into east, west, south three areas. In this study a system dynamic theory based model for the assessment of Taipei transportation management on the metropolitan’s air quality is extended and revised. The extended model is more appropriate to reflect the current situation of transportation system and activities in Taipei metropolitan area than before. The model is validated and calibrated to confirm its assessment applications. Moreover, this model assesses the integrity and the rationality of the Taipei country transportation district and road network constructed by model. This study includes two models, trip analysis model and traffic emission assessment model. The trip analysis model is to model trips and routes in the metropolitan’s transportation network. The traffic emission assessment model integrates three sub-model by System Dynamics theory, namely the Logit sub-model, traffic flow sub-model and traffic emission sub-model. The models then were used to calculate and to compare the air pollutant emission change before and after the mentioned transportation infrastructures were accomplished. In this study, the model was confirmed by the processes of validation and calibration with government published data. The processes confirm the results were quite agreeable to the current traffic situation. Subdivide the district of Taipei country to make the trip migration and distribution of pollutant more reasonable, it can also decrease the margin of error caused by allocating trip averagely. Under the Metropolis and transportation development, it could reflect current situation in Taipei metropolitan area by constructing the Guangfu N. Rd. , Guangfu S. Rd. and Ruiguang Rd. to Daan Dist. , Songshan Dist. and Neihu Dist. in the model.