探討影響FDI與GDP關係之決定因素

The Determinants of the Relationship between FDI and GDP

李娜(Claudete Barreto Lima Nazaré)

指導教授 ： 陳怡妃

淡江大學/商管學院/經營管理全英語碩士學位學程/碩士(2019年)

https://doi.org/10.6846/TKU.2019.00571

摘要

研究顯示，外國直接投資（FDI）已證明對地主國的經濟增長和資本形成有顯著關係影響。世界各地進行了許多研究，經驗證據支持這兩個變量之間的正相關關係，這兩個變量有時交互影響並混淆在一起，但過去歷史文獻並未深入研究。為了解決這個問題，與一組國家進行了選擇，其中外國直接投資的影響同樣表現在經濟上，而不論其經濟實力如何。這樣做可以使人們更深入地了解外國直接投資可能對經濟背景不同的國家產生的實際影響。
在本文中，選擇了兩組國家：外國直接投資淨流入與國內生產總值正相關的國家和外國直接投資淨流入與國內生產總值負相關的國家。進行了調查，以找出連接外國直接投資流入的決定因素，從而對經濟增長產生強烈影響（GDP年增長率）。選擇了20年（1997年至2017年）的時間長度，以便更全面地了解這一時期發生的變化。使用GEE模型更有助於創建一個新變量來顯示變量之間關係的方向。
本研究調查了各種變量對外國直接投資與國內生產總值之間關係的影響，並揭示了外國直接投資流入不利於某些研究國家國內生產總值增長的根本原因。

關鍵字

勞動力人口 ； 農地 ； 通貨膨脹 ； 經濟增長

並列摘要

Studies show that Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) has proven to have a positive effect on the economic growth and capital formation of the host economy. Many studies have been conducted around the world with empirical evidence supporting the positive relationship between these two variables that sometimes have been mixed up leaving gaps in the literature. In an attempt to address this problem, a selection was made with a group of countries where the effects of FDI manifests similarly on their economy, regardless of the power of their economy. Doing so could lead to a deeper and further understanding of the real impact FDI could have on countries with varying economic backgrounds.
In this paper, two groups of countries have been selected for the study: the ones where the net inflow of FDI is positively related to the GDP and the ones where the net inflow of FDI is negatively related to GDP. An investigation was made in order to find the determinants which connect the inflow of FDI leading to a strong impact on the economic growth (GDP % annual growth). A selection of a time span of 20 years (1997 - 2017) was made in order to have a broader picture of the changes occurred over the period. The GEE model was used which helped to create a new variable to show the direction of the relationship between the variables.
This study investigated the impacts of diverse variables, on the relationship between FDI and GDP, and also uncovered the underlying reasons that the inflow of FDI did not facilitate GDP growth in some of the countries studied.

並列關鍵字

Labor Force Population ； Agricultural Land ； Inflation ； Economic Growth

參考文獻

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