- 學位論文
加入TPP後對台灣經濟發展的影響
The effects of TPP on Taiwan's economic development after Taiwan's participation
摘要
本文研究主旨在於台灣加入TPP對於經濟的影響，同時以宏觀性角度了解TPP對於台灣及亞太地區的經貿往來，嘗試分析會員國對於台灣產業的依賴度。同時本文也有探尋加入TPP後對於台灣產生負面影響的因應對策，並將產業導向正確的發展。另外本文也對於現今與台灣相關的各大型區域貿易組織對於TPP的競合進行分析，把目前亞太地區經濟貿易往來現況加以說明。 TPP打著高品質與百分之百貿易自由化的高標準貿易協議，在議題上易超越國家邊界碰觸社會議題，實屬高階的整合協議。值得注意的是，隨著各種FTA規模不斷擴大，並逐漸由雙邊走向區域化的發展，其中以亞太地區最為明顯，整合進度也最快由其TPP是有史以來經濟規模最大的區域整合架構。 經本文分析與研究發現:首先TPP總GDP佔全球將近4成，是目前最大的大型區域貿易組織，而台灣與這些會員國有著高度的貿易往來，當中以美國、日本、新加坡最為密切，若能加入TPP，等於同時與美、日、澳、越南、馬來西亞等主要貿易夥伴簽署FTA，一次獲得多國相互關稅減免，所以未來關稅減讓的出口效益是非常可觀的，不只是關稅，TPP也消除會員國對於資金、人才等障礙，加上各國產業的互補性，讓會員國的合作關係更為密切，藉此獲得投資市場開放，吸引外資投資，創造就業機會。另外一方面，TPP十二國在台灣進口市場占有率高達38%，所以一旦加入TPP，台灣必須有大幅開放市場的心理準備。其次是TPP對於台灣工業和農業產業的影響，工業方面就以工具機、紡織業、汽車零組件、自行車產業獲益最為顯著。不過天下沒有白吃午餐，面對TPP廣大的市場開放，負面衝擊首當其衝就是農業產業，其中豬肉、稻米都難免受到波擊。最後在貿易自由化與區域經濟整合趨勢推動下，亦會伴隨衝擊產業之風險，台灣不管是面對區域經濟的市場開放或是引進外國制度時，必須深入了解其背景、利弊與趨勢，才能為產業謀取最大利益。
並列摘要
Purpose of this paper is to study in Taiwan to join the TPP for the economic impact. While macroscopic perspectives on TPP for Taiwan and the Asia-Pacific in economic and trade exchanges. Try to analyze the Member States for Taiwan's industrial dependence. Simultaneously explore for Taiwan to join the TPP after the negative impact of response measures, and the correct industry-oriented development. Also related to this article for Taiwan and all major regional trade organizations competing analyzed. And the current economic status of the Asia-Pacific trade will be described. TPP name of high quality and high standards of one hundred percent of trade liberalization trade agreements. On the subject easy to touch social issues transcend national borders, it is high-end integration agreement. It is worth noting that, with the various FTA have been expanding,and gradually from bilateral to regional development. Among the Asia-Pacific region the most obvious, but also the integration of the fastest progress by TPP is the largest ever scale regional economic integration architecture. After this paper, and we found that: First TPP total global GDP accounted for nearly 40 percent, is the largest of the major regional trade organizations. Taiwan with those Member States with a high degree of trade, which the United States, Japan, Singapore most closely. If join TPP, is equal to the same time with the United States, Japan, Australia, Vietnam, Malaysia and other major trading partners signed the FTA. A multi-national mutual tariff concessions, so the future effectiveness of the export tariff concessions is very impressive. Not only tariffs, TPP also eliminated Member States for the financial,personnel and other obstacles. Plus complementary industrial countries, so cooperation between Member States more closely, thereby opening up the market for investment and attract foreign investment and create jobs. On the other hand, TPP Twelve imports in the Taiwan market share as high as 38%. So once it joins the TPP, Taiwan's industry has to be a substantial market opening psychological preparation. Followed by TPP for Taiwan's industrial and agricultural industries impact. In the industrial sector, about machine tools, textiles, auto parts, bicycle industry are the most significant benefit. But there's no such thing as a free lunch.Face TPP majority of market opening, the first is the negative impact of agricultural industries, including pork and rice are bound to be the wave hit. Finally, trade liberalization and regional economic integration trend, driven by the industry will also be accompanied by the risk of impact. when in the face of open area in Taiwan, regardless of economic or market introduction of foreign systems. We must better understand their background, pros and cons and trends, in order to industry reap the greatest benefits.