俄國的巧實力與外交政策—以俄喬衝突與烏克蘭危機為例

摘要本文的目的是, 從巧實力的角度研究俄羅斯外交政策在後蘇聯地區, 尤其是喬治亞和烏克蘭的演變。透過對這些事態發展的重新概念化，並結合新的經驗性見解。本文旨在增進我們對該地區衝突的理解，特別是俄羅斯聯邦的參與，透過其外交政策中的連結和影響力，證明巧實力在俄羅斯外交政策中的存在。為了解決這些問題，我轉向Steven Levitsky 和 Lucan A. Way 著名的連結和影響力的框架。本文將重點討論2008年的俄喬衝突和2014年的烏克蘭危機，當時俄羅斯承認阿布哈茲(Abkhazia)和南奧塞梯(South Ossetia)，盧甘斯克（Lugansk)和頓涅茨克(Donetsk)的地區獨立，並將其有效地轉變為俄羅斯的保護國。對俄羅斯外交政策中的巧實力戰略進行分析對於地區安全以及國際安全尤為重要。本文除引言和結論兩章外，論文主要由三章組成。第三章試圖分析2008年俄羅斯與喬治亞衝突，特別是阿布哈茲和南奧塞梯，巧實力戰略的來源與侷限性。第四章討論了2014年俄羅斯與烏克蘭危機，特別是在盧甘斯克州和頓涅茨克，巧實力戰略的來源與侷限性。

關鍵字

俄羅斯；喬治亞；烏克蘭；軟實力；硬實力；巧實力

並列摘要

Abstract The purpose of this master's thesis is to study Russian Foreign Policy, in terms of Smart Power, its evolution in the post-Soviet regions, especially in Georgia and Ukraine. Through the re-conceptualization of these developments, combined with new empirical insights, this thesis aims to increase our understanding of the conflict in the regions, especially the participation of the Russian Federation, proving the existence of Smart Power in Russian Foreign Policy. To deal with these problems, I turn to Steven Levitsky and Lucan A. Way framework of linkage and leverage. I will first focus on the Russo-Georgian Conflict in 2008 and the Ukrainian Crisis in 2014, when Russia recognized the independence of the regions of Abkhazia and South Ossetia, as well as Lugansk and Donetsk and effectively transformed it into a Russian protectorate. The analysis of Smart Power strategy in Russian Foreign Policy is particularly important for regional security and international security. In addition to the two chapters of introduction and conclusion, this thesis consists of three chapters. The second chapter discusses the concept of Smart Power and the evolution of this concept in Russian Foreign Policy. The third chapter attempts to analyze the strategy of Russia's Smart Power in Russo-Georgian Conflict in 2008, especially in Abkhazia and South Ossetia, its sources and limitations. The fourth chapter discusses the existence and limitations of Russia's Smart Power in the Ukrainian Crisis in 2014, especilly in Lugansk and Donetsk, its sources and limitations.