政府政策與資訊揭露對生產決策影響之行為實驗

Effects of Government Policy and Information Disclosure in Production Decision Experiments

林芝瑋(Tzu-Wei Lin)

指導教授 ： 楊奕農

中原大學/商學院/國際經營與貿易研究所/碩士(2012年)

https://doi.org/10.6840/cycu201200908

摘要

為了解政府政策與資訊揭露對生產決策之影響，本研究採用2×2×2的三因子之生產決策實驗設計，以觀察生產者在考慮生產決策時，是否會因政府保證收購政策實施與否和前期總產量資訊之有無等因素影響，並考量在現實社會中，生產者會面臨不同生產期的產品之抉擇問題，本實驗亦考慮生產遞延之有無，來綜合討論是否會因而影響人們的生產決策。
研究發現在多數的情況下，當政府實施保證收購政策時，其平均市場價格低於政府不實施政策下的價格，意即政府實施保證收購政策下的市場總產量高於政府不實施政策下的產量，表示政府實施保證收購政策後，市場上選擇生產的生產者較多。
本研究發現當市場揭露前期總產量資訊時，其平均市場交易價格高於市場不揭露前期總產量資訊下的價格，意即市場揭露前期總產量資訊下的市場總產量低於不揭露前期總產量資訊下的產量，表示當市場揭露前期總產量資訊時，市場上願意選擇生產的生產者較少；而在本研究考慮產品無生產遞延(0年)與產品生產遞延3年之兩種情形中，實驗發現在多數的情況下，產品生產遞延年限為3年下的市場交易價格與產品無生產遞延年限下的價格並無差異，意即市場上選擇生產的生產者人數不受產品生產遞延年限之影響。

關鍵字

實驗經濟 ； 生產決策

並列摘要

In order to find out the effects of government policy and information disclosure in production decision experiments, in this research we used the 2×2×2 design to observe whether government policies, information disclosure and production delay will affect the total production or not.
The study found three main results. Firstly, in the majority of situations, when the government executes the policy, the market price is lower than it doesn’t take the policy. This result implicates that there are more producers to choose to product when the government takes the policy. Secondly, when the producers could get the total output information, the market price is higher than they couldn’t get the information. This result shows that there are less producers to product when they could know the total output information. Lastly, in the majority of situations, there is no difference between production delay and no production delay.

並列關鍵字

experimental economics ； production decision

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