中美貿易戰對台灣經濟的影響

The Influence of China-US Trade War on Taiwan Economy

劉宣辰(Hsuan-Chen Liu)

指導教授 ： 廖先昱

中原大學/商學院/國際商學碩士學位學程/碩士(2020年)

https://doi.org/10.6840/cycu202000928

摘要

2018年，美國總統川普要求對從中國進口的商品徵收高額關稅，引發了中美貿易戰，進而影響了全球供應鏈的關係。本文的目的即想探討中美貿易戰對台灣經濟的可能影響。本文採用迴歸分析法分析1990年至2017年中美間的關稅變化對台灣GDP與台灣十大產業的產出之影響。結果發現木業和鞋業的影響最為顯著。

關鍵字

GDP ； 貿易戰 ； 單根檢定 ； 關稅

並列摘要

In 2018, the President of the US, Trump, proposed raising high tariff on China imports, which causes US-China trade war and has influenced global supply chain since then. The purpose of this research is to examine the influence of China-US Trade War on Taiwan economy. By using regression analysis, the effects of tariff change between the US and China on Taiwan GDP and output of 10 industries from 1990 to 2017 were analyzed. The results show that wood and footwear industries are significant.

並列關鍵字

GDP ； trade war ； unit root test ； tariff

參考文獻

References

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