本研究將以官方發布的統計資料來分析台閩地區主要觀光遊憩區遊客人次的狀況。首先,透過國人國內旅遊狀況調查來探討國人旅遊的習慣,從中發現可能會影響觀光需求的因素。接著,透過累積函數來研究遊客人次集中度,並以遊客人次集中度為被解釋變數,國民平均所得、道路長度分別為解釋變數,運用「普通最小平方法」得到的實證結果顯示,國民平均所得與道路長度兩者皆和遊客集中度有顯著正相關。最後,觀光遊憩主要乃人們於閒暇時所從事的活動之一,故觀光遊憩區遊客之多寡可能會受到人口地理分佈的影響,於是將縣市作為人口地理分佈之依據,在OLS的實證之下,發現以縣市人口數去解釋境內遊客人次略顯牽強,此說明了各縣市觀光遊憩區遊客人次之多寡並非全然與當地人口數有所關聯。
This thesis deals with the official data to analyse the visitors to the principal scenic spots in Taiwan. The practice of tourists that traveled in national can be discovered that the factors that affect the demand of tourists. Using the accumlate function to research the density of visitors. On the empirical method, the researcher adopts “Ordinary Least Square” (OLS). Variables of the regression model includes: the density of visitors, national income per capita, length of roads. Empirical results show that both national income per capita and length of roads have significant positive correlation with the density of visitors. Both tourism and recreation are leisure activities, the explanation of regression models doesn’t have significant correlation between coutries population and visitors.