火災原因之研究-以桃園市山腳消防分隊為例

火災預防、災害搶救為消防人員法定工作內容，火災發生當下，仰賴消防人員平時之訓練外；而預防火災發生才是根本解決之道，從實際火災調查中蒐集及分析相關資料，能正確的發現發生火災的關鍵點。本研究以桃園市山腳消防分隊106年至108年轄內發生火災案件調查為背景，經由相關文獻及統計找出發生火災可能的因子，並透過迴歸分析，了解相關時間點與火災的關係。雜草、廢棄物火警容易受區域、月份及時間的影響外，與溫度及濕度亦息息相關，另外火災現場控制火勢花費時間、火勢熄滅時間及燒損面積三者息息相關。

關鍵字

火災；統計；迴歸分析

並列摘要

Fire fighting and disaster relief are statutory tasks for firefighters. Although firefighters specialize in fire protection, "prevention is better than cure" can fully explain that fire prevention is the most fundamental solution. Collecting and analyzing information from actual fire case investigation data can reveal the cause of the fire. The research data are based on fire investigation cases in the Shanjiao Fire Squad area of Taoyuan City from 2017 to 2019. Use relevant literature and descriptive statistics to identify possible fire factors, and use regression analysis to understand the relationship between relevant time points and events. Weed and waste fires are not only affected by area, month, and time, but are also closely related to temperature and humidity. In addition, the time required to control the fire, the time required to extinguish the fire, and the burning range are closely related.