建築空調用電與氣候相關性之探討—以某公務機關為例

由於全球暖化，北極和其它地區溫差持續縮小差距，也造成了天氣型態在同一地點駐留時間更長，而極端氣候也陸續產生，例如：今年一月極地渦漩侵襲北半球的中西部，創下攝氏零下六十六度的超低溫紀錄，而遠在南半球的澳洲則是在同月出現飆破四十度的熱浪，氣候的劇變已巖然成為二十一世紀全球共同面臨的困境，可預見氣候變遷帶來的考驗將越來越嚴峻，擬訂更積極之節能減碳政策，並推動落實調適衝擊具體行動，更是刻不容緩。本研究以某公務機關的歷年用電數據資料為主，分別取其中北、中、南三個部門為樣本對象，利用各部門用電數據分別與當地之溫度及相對溼度、風速、雨量等氣候因子做相關性與迴歸分析，結果顯示北部以溫度、風速具相關特性並具顯著影響、中部以溫度具相關特性並具顯著影響、南部以溫度、濕度、雨量具相關特性，另溫度及雨量具顯著影響，將各區域研究結果均納入空調用電關鍵影響因子以做為後續制定節電政策精進之參考。

關鍵字

氣候變遷；節能減碳；節電政策；相關特性；迴歸分析

並列摘要

Due to global warming, the temperature gap between the Arctic and other regions continues to narrow the gap, which also causes the weather patterns to stay longer in the same place, and extreme weather is also emerging. For example, in January this year, the polar vortex invaded the Midwest of the Northern Hemisphere, setting a new The ultra-low temperature record of minus sixty-six degrees Celsius, while Australia in the southern hemisphere has broken the heat wave of forty degrees in the same month. The dramatic changes in the climate have become the common dilemma facing the world in the 21st century, and climate change is foreseeable. The test will be more and more severe. It is imperative to formulate a more active energy-saving and carbon-reduction policy and promote the implementation of specific actions to adapt to the impact. This study takes the historical data of a public service organization as the main data, taking the three departments of the north, middle and south as sample objects, using the electricity consumption data of each department and the local temperature and relative humidity, wind speed, rainfall and other climates. The correlation and regression analysis of the factors show that the temperature and wind speed in the north have relevant characteristics and have significant influences. The central part has temperature-related characteristics and has a significant influence. The south has temperature, humidity and rainfall related characteristics, and the temperature and rain gauge have Significant influence, the results of each region are included in the key impact factors of air-conditioning electricity as a reference for the subsequent development of power-saving policies.