籃球攻守紀錄技術表現分析-以105學年度大專籃球聯賽男子公開一級為例

本文主要以105學年度大專籃球聯賽男子公開組第一級為例，探討籃球攻守紀錄技術表現與比賽勝負之關係，並進一步以當學年度前四名(依序為健行科技大學、國立台灣師範大學、輔仁大學、國立台中科技大學)為例，比較四支球隊比賽攻守紀錄技術表現。首先我們蒐集105學年度大專籃球聯賽共計256場預決賽之籃球攻守紀錄與勝負分差，將所得之數據資料進行敘述性統計相關分析。接著利用105學年度前四名球隊比賽攻守紀錄技術表現(例如：投籃命中率、罰球命中率、防守/進攻籃板、助攻、抄截、阻攻、失誤等)進行敘述統計以及變異數分析(ANOVA)，並利用費雪法進行事後比較。研究結果顯示得分技術中，兩分球命中率、三分球命中率及助攻次數與比賽勝負分差有顯著正相關；非得分技術部分，進攻籃板個數及犯規次數與比賽勝負分差有顯著正相關，而失誤次數則與比賽勝負分差有顯著負相關；在防守技術上，防守籃板個數及抄截次數與比賽勝負分差有顯著正相關。最後，根據比較四支球隊比賽攻守紀錄技術表現的結果，我們發現四支球隊在失分、勝負分差、罰球命中率、助攻次數、犯規次數及阻攻次數有顯著差異。

關鍵字

大專籃球聯賽；攻守技術表現；變異數分析；費雪法

並列摘要

This study mainly investigates the relationship between offensive and defensive performance of basketball and the outcome of competitions in the University Basketball Association Men's Open Division in 105 academic year. We also take Chien Hsin University of Science and Technology, National Taiwan Normal University, Fu Jen Catholic University, National Taichung University of Science and Technology for example to explore the offensive and defensive performances of these top four teams. Firstly, we collected the data of the offense and defense records and score difference of the total 256 games of UBA 105 Academic Year and analyzed by Descriptive Statisticsand Analysis of Correlation. Secondly,we analyzed the offense and defense performance (e.g. field goal percentage, free throw percentage, defensive/offensive rebounds, assist, steal, block, turnover etc.) of the top four teams by Descriptive Statistics and Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) and made post comparison by Scheffé Method. The results showed that there is a significant positive correlation between the difference between the outcome of the game and the two-point shooting percentage, the three-point shooting percentage, or the number of assists in scoring technique. In the non-score technical part, there is significant positive correlation between the difference between the outcome of the game and the number of offensive rebounds or the number of fouls while and there is significant negatively correlation between the outcome of the game and the number of errors. As to the defensive technology, there is a significant positive correlation between the outcome of the game and the number of defensive rebounds or the number of interceptions. Finally, based on the comparison of offensive and defensive record technical performance of the four teams, we found that there are significant differences among the four teams in terms of loss points, points difference, free throws, assists, fouls, and blockages. Keywords: University Basketball Association, Offense-Defense Performance, Analysis of Variance, Scheffé Method.