以迴歸分析論析影響高中男子甲組籃球隊成績表現之關鍵攻防技術

An Analysis of Critical Offence and Defense Skills that Influence Sport Performance of HBL First Division Male Basketball Teams by Regression Analysis

李志峰(Chih-Feng Lee)

《運動與觀光研究》 3卷2期 (2014/06) Pp. 74-80

https://doi.org/10.6198/Sports.2014.3(2).74-80

摘要

本研究以一O二學年度HBL高中男子甲級籃球聯賽，預賽48筆攻守記錄作為研究資料，主要的目的在運用統計迴歸分析，探討影響籃球比賽成績表現的關鍵攻防技術。研究發現，在效標變項的選擇方面，以得失分差作為效標，較之得失分商（得分除以失分）具有較高的決定係數；至於預測變項（攻防技術）方面，則以三分球、二分球以及罰球的實際得分，較之三分球、二分球以及罰球的命中率具有較高的預測力。而研究最後發現，對高中男子甲組籃球隊成績表現（得失分差）最具有關鍵影響的攻防技術分別是：二分球得分、三分球得分、罰球得分、進攻籃板以及抄截等五項。

關鍵字

迴歸分析 ； 籃球 ； 運動表現 ； 攻防技術

並列摘要

This study recruited 48 offence and defense records of 102nd academic-year HBL (High School Basketball League) male first division preliminary games as research data. The primary purpose was to investigate critical offence and defense skills of basketball that influence sport performance by regression analysis. The finding of the research revealed that the difference of score and lost score was a better criterion than the quotient of score and lost score because the difference of score and lost score had a higher coefficient of determination. As for the predictors, three-points score, two-points score and free throw score had higher predict ability than three-points rate, two-points rate and free throw rate. Finally, the research discovered that two-points score, three-points score, free throw score, offence rebound and steal were the five critical techniques that influence performance (difference of score and lost score) of high school first division male basketball teams.

並列關鍵字

regression analysis ； basketball ； sport performance ； offence and defense skills