由於目前農業收益低落,因此農地價格之重要影響因素很可能反而與非農業因素更直接相關。受都市化影響地區之農地價格可能在農地轉用預期下提高其價格。本文將進行轉用壓力影響下之農地價格實證研究,預計選擇宜蘭縣作為研究縣市。由於宜蘭縣都市化程度差異明顯,且縣內有大量土地仍在從事農業生產,有利於本研究實證。透過實證了解宜蘭縣農地價格與收益現況、並驗證宜蘭縣農地價格是否顯著受農地至市中心距離影響,進而了解農地轉用壓力影響下的農地價格產生的現象、問題、與政策可行方向。本研究預期農地轉用壓力造成農地交易價格與收益價格之差異,此差異並隨農地到市中心距離有所不同而變化。因此使用Anderson (2000)所提出之迴歸模型進行實證測試農地市價與收益價格間之差異與都市化程度間的關係。本文預期透過模型實證宜蘭縣之農地價格與收益價格間的差異確實受到都市化影響結果,這反映了距離都市越近,農地轉用可能性越高的狀況,並期待實證資料能帶來未來政策制定方向之參考依據。
Rapid urbanization in the 1980s in Taiwan had led to the rise of farmland price. From the agricultural point of view, the price of farmland shall be primarily determined by productivity-relevant agricultural factors. However, the price of farmland adjacent to urban areas has constantly been observed to be excessively higher than that possibly supported by agricultural productivity. This phenomenon is suspected to be due to the expectation of farmland conversion or urbanization pressure. This thesis sets out to explore the correlation between farmland price and urbanization pressure. I-Lan County is selected as our study area in that a great number of farmland under different degrees of urbanization pressure exist in this area. A detailed study of I-Lan County will help us to gain a deeper understanding of the inter-relationship between farmland price and urbanization. We have found that the gap between market value and use value of farmland comes from the conversion pressure. The value gap diminishes with the distance from the city center as predicted by Alonso-type land value theory. A number of policies regarding land use and land taxation are thus proposed based on our empirical findings.