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  • 學位論文

不同金控資產規模其財務績效對股價報酬影響之研究

The Impacts of Financial Performance on Stock Returns under Different Financial Holding Assets

指導教授 : 古永嘉
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摘要


我國於2001 年7 月9 日公布「金融控股公司法」作為金融業綜合經營基礎,目的就 是希望提供本國金融機構的競爭力,金融控股公司法的誔生對我國目前金融版圖有著重 大影響,本研究有四個目的:(一)探討金控公司財務績效指標與股價報酬之關聯性(二) 財務績效指標及股價報酬在不同資產規模下,是否具有顯著差異(三)探討不同規模下, 財務績效指標及股價報酬是否有不同之影響效果(四)探討不同規模下,有那些財務績 效指標對股價報酬具顯著影響。 本篇研究採用從2001 年第四季至2012 年第三季間依台灣經濟新報資料庫(TEJ)選 取本國前14 家金控公司為研究對象共參考600 筆的財務相關季資料,以財務績效共8 個 為自變數、總資產為控制變數及股價報酬率為應變數,探討不同金控資產規模其財務績 效對股價報酬影響之研究。透過皮爾森相關係數法(Pearson 相關係數表)、變異數分析 法、多重比較分析法(Duncan 法)、多元迴歸分析法及逐步迴歸分析法來進行實證研究。 實證結果發現:(1)股價報酬率與每股盈餘及稅後淨值報酬率呈現正相關並在1%水 準下顯著,股價報酬率與營業毛利率及營業費用率也呈現正相關並在5%水準下顯著。(2) 股價報酬率依金控資產規模統計上無顯著差異,但實際資料顯示按季的股價報酬則小規 模略大於中規模略大於大規模(小規模1.8419>中規模1.4239>大規模1.1983)。(3)大規 模資產金控下, F 統計值具有5%顯著水準,營業利益率、稅前淨利率及營業費用率皆 具有顯著的正向關係且在5%的顯著水準下,顯示隨金控的營業利益率、稅前淨利率及營 業費用率越高,則金控的股價報酬率表現越佳。(4)全體金控中影響股價報酬率的財務 績效比率為稅後淨值報酬率及營業費用率。

並列摘要


On July 9, 2001 The government announced "Financial Holding Company Act" as the basis for improving management capability of the financial industry. The initiation of the Financial Holding Company Law has significant impact on the financial indusdry. The purposes of this study have four objectives: (1) investigates the correlation between financial performance indicators and stock return. (2) investigates the difference of financial performance indicators and stock returns under various asset size. (3) investigates the impacts of financial performance indicators on stock returns under various asset size. (4) investigates important significant financial performance indicators on stock returns under various asset sizes. This study uses fourteen financial holding companies data ranging from the fourth quarter of 2001 to the third quarter of 2012, from Taiwan Economic Journal database (TEJ), a total of 600 observations. Eight financial performance indicators as independent variables, total assets as control variable and companies stock returns as dependent variables. The data analysis include Pearson correlation, ANOVA analysis, multiple comparison analysis (Duncan method), regression analysis and stepwise regression analysis. The results show that: (1) Stock returns, EPS and ROE stock returns, operating margin and operating expense ratio have positive correlations. (2) Stock returns showed no statistically significant difference under different sizes; however, the actual data show that the quarterly stock returns of larger size are slightly better than the small scale. (3) In larger size FHC, operating margin, pre-tax profit margin and operating expense ratio have significant positive impacts on stock returns return performance, the better. (4) For all FHC companies, after-tax return on equity ratio and operating expense ratio have significant impacts on stock returns.

參考文獻


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