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  • 學位論文

金正日與六方會談:議題選擇與政策困境(1994-2011)

Kim Jong-il and Six-Party Talks: Topic Selection and Policy Dilemma(1994-2011)

指導教授 : 蔡育岱
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摘要


1994 年起金正日掌權開始,即推動「先軍政治」為北韓的指導方針。2009年北韓進行人造衛星導彈試射,同年退出六方會談,並進行核子試爆,導致聯合國安理會以1874 決議案制裁北韓。第一次核武危機之後,1994 年北韓與美國簽訂日內瓦「美國-北韓核子框架協議」,並於1995 年成立「朝鮮半島能源開發組織Korean Peninsula Energy Development Organization(KEDO)」。第二次核武危機後,美國、北韓、中國在北京進行三方會談,但是在雙方缺乏共識之下,並未獲得具體成果。2003 年中國發起之六方會談,以實現朝鮮半島無核化為目標,在長達6 年的談判過程中,取得共同聲明與落實行動,但這個目標在北韓退出六方會談之後,不但沒有達到具體成效,似乎還離目標越來越遠。朝鮮半島的局勢並非單一國際關係理論所能分析,由於金正日的主體思想與先軍政治主導北韓的外交策略,因此六方會談最終並未能發揮功能,各國從六方會談之中並未得利,反觀北韓,似乎才是贏家。在北韓退出六方會談之後,各國所採取的外交策略壓迫北韓的經濟發展,將促使北韓有進一步的轉變。

並列摘要


Kim Jong-il has been promoting “military-first politics” as the guidance for North Korea since he came to power in 1994. North Korea launched a satellite missile test in 2009 while withdrawing from the Six-Party Talks in the same year to carry out a nuclear test, resulting in United Nations Security Council sanctioning on North Korea with Resolution 1874. After the first nuclear crisis, North Korea signed a “Nuclear Agreed Framework ” with the United States in Geneva in 1994, followed by establishing the “Korea Peninsula Energy Development Organization (KEDO)” in 1995. After the second nuclear crisis, The United States, North Korea, and China held a tripartite talks in Beijing; however no concrete results have been reached under the lack of consensus from affiliated parties. In 2003, China launched a Six-Party Talks in attempt to complete denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula. The negotiation lasted up to 6 years before reaching joint statement and the implementation of actions. However this objective not only failed to accomplish concrete results but also seemed to deviate from the target even further after North Korea withdrew from the Six-Party Talks. The situation in the Korean Peninsula could not be analyzed simply using single international relations theory. Due to Kim Jong-il’s Juche Idea and the foreign policy of military-first politics that led Korea, Six-Party Talks ultimately failed to bring its function into full play while none of the States has benefited from the Six-Party Talks. North Korea in the contrary has become the biggest winner. After North Korea withdrew from the Six-Party Talks, the foreign policies adopted by all States have oppressed the economic development of North Korea, leading North Korea to take further transformation.

參考文獻


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被引用紀錄


林泓泰(2015)。從韓三國統一探討現代韓半島分裂局勢〔碩士論文,國立中正大學〕。華藝線上圖書館。https://www.airitilibrary.com/Article/Detail?DocID=U0033-2110201614005333

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